MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1936
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0534 PM CDT WED AUG 10 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...MS...AL...FL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 102234Z - 110000Z
   
   SCATTERED PULSE AND LARGER MARGINALLY ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF INTENSE
   STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS
   IN EXCESS OF 50KTS OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO ACROSS PARTS OF MS AND
   AL AND THE WRN PORTION OF THE FL PNHDL. DISORGANIZED AND SCATTERED
   NATURE OF THIS ACTIVITY...AND THE ISOLATED THREAT OF WIND DAMAGE
   PRECLUDES A SEVERE TSTM WATCH AT THIS TIME.
   
   A COMPLEX AND WEAKLY FORCED CONVECTIVE REGIME EXISTS ACROSS THE
   SOUTH THIS EVENING WITH LONGER VISIBLE SATL LOOP DEPICTING AN ARRAY
   OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS LEADING TO ROBUST STORM DEVELOPMENT
   OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. AIRMASS SURROUNDING THIS DEVELOPMENT
   REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE AND EXPECT THAT ISOLATED DOWNBURST WIND THREAT
   MAY EXIST FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS NEAR BOUNDARY INTERSECTIONS AND
   INVOF COLLAPSING STORMS AND STORM MERGERS. BROADLY DIFFLUENT LARGER
   SCALE UPPER FLOW AND A WEAK MID LEVEL MCV ACROSS NRN AREAS MAY ACT
   TO SUSTAIN ACTIVITY FOR A BIT LONGER THAN DIABATIC INFLUENCES ALONE.
   HOWEVER...IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING AND
   NEGATIVE FEEDBACK FROM STORM INTERACTIONS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN WEAKER
   DEEP-LAYER FLOW ACROSS SRN AREAS OF MS/AL AND THE FL PNHDL...WILL
   LEAD TO A QUICK DEMISE OF STORMS IN THESE AREAS AS DIURNAL COOLING
   COMMENCES. OVERALL SCENARIO DOES NOT APPEAR TO WARRANT A WATCH BUT
   THE ENTIRE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
   
   ..CARBIN.. 08/10/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN...
   
   LAT...LON   32108540 31138505 30408524 30318586 30518640 30778690
               31018721 31418778 31608848 31388914 31368964 31539013
               31789044 32179086 32509094 32799088 33109068 33469054
               33779048 34109038 34389010 34678959 34878918 34918858
               34618794 34358768 33848737 33238687 32108540