MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1791
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1014 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NERN MT...WRN AND CNTRL ND
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 702...
   
   VALID 300314Z - 300415Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 702
   CONTINUES.
   
   PRIMARY THREAT ACROSS WW 702 REMAINS CONFINED TO A RIGHT-MOVING 
   SUPERCELL NOW ENTERING WRN ND...WHICH IS STILL EXHIBITING A STRONG
   REFLECTIVITY CORE WITH A LIKELY ACCOMPANYING THREATS OF DMGG
   WINDS/LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO. UNPERTURBED MOIST S-SELY
   LOW-LEVEL INFLOW /SAMPLED NEAR 20 KTS PER KBIS VAD DATA/ WILL
   PERSIST AND SHOULD AID IN MAINTAINING INTENSITY IN THE SHORT-TERM
   DESPITE INCREASING CINH. INSTABILITY ACROSS CNTRL ND REMAINS QUITE
   LIMITED WITH NWD EXTENT /PER 02Z RUC OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS/. EVENTUAL
   EVOLUTION IS STILL SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN...ESPECIALLY IN REGARDS TO
   POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE GROWTH OF WRN ND SUPERCELL AND ADJACENT
   CLUSTER OF TSTMS OVER NWRN ND. HOWEVER...EVENTUAL VEERING OF
   LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITH COULD FAVOR COLD POOL CONSOLIDATION AND
   DEVELOPMENT OF AN ORGANIZED CLUSTER. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE
   TO BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE NEW WW ISSUANCE DOWNSTREAM FROM WW 702.
   
   ..ROGERS.. 07/30/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BIS...BYZ...GGW...
   
   LAT...LON   46570336 46510454 47260519 48920398 48930064 46760019
               46490083 46570336