MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1716
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1146 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SE MN...WI
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 680...
   
   VALID 240446Z - 240615Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 680
   CONTINUES.
   
   AN ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...BUT TRENDS WILL
   CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
   
   WITHIN A BROADER SCALE LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION
   REGIME...CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND
   INTENSIFIED ACROSS SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA INTO NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. 
   ALTHOUGH IT DOES NOT CURRENTLY SEEM LIKELY THAT A SUBSTANTIVE
   CONSOLIDATION AND FURTHER INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND ORGANIZATION
   WILL OCCUR...STORMS PROBABLY WILL MAINTAIN CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH
   THE 06-08Z TIME FRAME...IN THE PRESENCE OF SIZABLE CAPE AND A
   FAVORABLY SHEARED 30 KT WESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW.  MARGINALLY
   SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN STRONGEST STORMS...AND PRECIPITATION
   LOADING/EVAPORATIVE COOLING COULD STILL CONTRIBUTE TO LOCALLY
   DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...PARTICULARLY WITH ACTIVITY CURRENTLY TURNING
   SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE EAU CLAIRE AREA...ALONG A REMNANT BAROCLINIC
   ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH PRIOR CONVECTION...TOWARD AREAS NEAR/JUST WEST
   OF MARSHFIELD AND WISCONSIN RAPIDS.
   
   ..KERR.. 07/24/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...
   
   LAT...LON   43909385 44669332 45419177 45969008 45968904 45288837
               44398901 43769027 43569210 43389363 43909385