MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1614
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0104 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA...CNTRL/NRN AL...NERN MS...SWRN TN
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 141804Z - 142000Z
   
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG AN INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDING
   FROM SRN GA NWWD INTO SWRN TN.  GIVEN THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE
   DAMAGING WIND THREAT...A WW IS UNLIKELY.
   
   VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS /MLCAPE VALUES AOA 3000 J/KG/ HAVE
   DEVELOPED OVER THIS REGION IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG INSOLATION AND
   SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-TO-UPPER 70S.  GIVEN THE VERY WEAK FLOW
   AT ALL LEVELS...HOWEVER...STORM ORGANIZATION IS UNLIKELY.  SOME
   THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS FROM ISOLATED WET MICROBURSTS MAY EXIST
   WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...ESPECIALLY INTO NRN MS/AL WHERE SLIGHTLY
   DRIER MIDLEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.
   
   ..JIRAK.. 07/14/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...
   MEG...JAN...
   
   LAT...LON   34678956 35118962 35488965 35708940 35868907 35978856
               35958811 35838779 35768767 35648745 35388727 34958687
               34508644 34328607 34148579 33688513 33528478 33298424
               32988352 32778289 32678249 32658215 32738170 32718151
               32528125 32288121 32198107 32078110 31978107 31928106
               31858113 31718124 31508138 31338154 31148179 31028211
               30928262 30888302 30948362 31108428 31388521 31548572
               31748623 31848676 31978697 32178736 32608796 34678956