MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1551
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0252 PM CDT SAT JUL 09 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...EAST CENTRAL/SERN CO...EXTREME NWRN KS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 
   
   VALID 091952Z - 092045Z
   
   CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING OVER THE
   MOUNTAINS/FOOTHILLS AND GRADUALLY MOVE NEWD INTO THE HIGH PLAINS.
   STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY NEXT 1-2 HOURS AND A SEVERE TSTM
   WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.
   
   AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS PERSISTING OVER PARTS OF THE AREA WITH
   SURFACE DEW POINTS GENERALLY IN THE 50S...CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE OF
   1500 J/KG.  SWLY FLOW ALOFT WITH MID-LEVEL WINDS OF 30-35 KTS WILL
   SUPPORT ORGANIZED MULTICELL STORM STRUCTURES WITH AN ISOLATED
   SUPERCELL ALSO POSSIBLE.  CLEAR SKIES OVER THE PLAINS AND RESULTANT
   STRONG DIABATIC HEATING ARE CREATING STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   WITHIN A DEEPENING BOUNDARY LAYER...WITH INCREASING THREAT FOR
   STRONG WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLE HAIL WITH STRONGER CELLS.
   
   ..WEISS.. 07/09/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...
   
   LAT...LON   38960452 39500440 39830403 40010349 40110287 40020232
               39910184 39610143 38750142 38150197 37360235 37040267
               37000359 37410414 38300449 38960452