MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1529
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0616 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO...WRN NEB...S CNTRL NEB...NWRN KS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 606...
   
   VALID 062316Z - 070115Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 606
   CONTINUES.
   
   SEVERE STORMS PERSIST ACROSS NERN CO AND NRN NEB...WITH HAIL AND
   STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS. WITH LITTLE LOW LEVEL STORM RELATIVE
   FLOW WITH ONLY 5-10 KT 850 TO 700 MB...OUTFLOW IS OUTRUNNING SOME OF
   THIS ACTIVITY AND IT IS HAVING TROUBLE FORWARD PROPAGATING.
   HOWEVER...OTHER ACTIVITY HAS FORMED FARTHER S IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO
   BETTER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY OVER CUSTER COUNTY...ALTHOUGH
   CELLULAR WITH JUST HAIL AT THIS TIME.
   
   TO THE W...STORMS ARE RAPIDLY PROPAGATING IN AN EWD DIRECTION OUT OF
   NERN CO WITH LARGE HAIL CORES AND LIKELY DAMAGING WINDS. TO THE E OF
   THIS ACTIVITY...SRN NEB/KS HAS REMAINED STORM FREE IN THE WAKE OF
   THE EARLIER ACTIVITY...WITH AMPLE MOISTURE IN PLACE WITH MID 60S
   DEWPOINTS AND PRECIPITABLE WATER OF 1.50-1.75 INCHES. AS
   SUCH...STORMS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING AS THEY TRAVEL EWD
   INTO SRN NEB AND KS. A STRENGTHENING E TO SELY LOW LEVEL JET WILL
   HELP INCREASE SHEAR PROFILES AND THE PROBABILITY OF A FORWARD
   PROPAGATING SEVERE MCS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/06/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...
   
   LAT...LON   43109984 37870232 37850508 43090285 43109984