|
Mesoscale Discussion 1456 |
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1456
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0807 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...GREATER CHICAGO METRO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON
VALID 010107Z - 010130Z
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL/DMGG WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO ACROSS FAR NERN IL AND PERHAPS FAR NWRN IND /GREATER
CHICAGO METRO/.
SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARY SLOWLY MOVING WWD
ACROSS SERN WI AND NERN IL. 00Z GRB RAOB SHOWED AMPLE ELEVATED
POTENTIAL INSTABILITY /2400 J/KG MUCAPE/ ON THE ERN PERIPHERY OF A
STOUT PLAINS ELEVATED MIXED LAYER. SLY SURFACE FLOW VEERING TO NLY
IN THE MID-UPPER LEVELS IS CONTRIBUTING TO A STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR
PROFILE ACROSS THIS REGION...SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED
STORMS--INCLUDING SUPERCELLS. RADAR IMAGERY LOOP SHOWS THE STORMS
OVER SRN LAKE MICH DEVIATING TO A WEST OF SOUTH COMPONENT...FAVORING
THE EVENTUAL MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS INTO THE GREATER CHICAGO METRO
OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. KRAC RECENTLY MEASURED A 57 KT WIND GUST.
LARGE TO PERHAPS VERY LARGE HAIL/DMGG WINDS WILL PROBABLY IMPACT THE
NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AREAS OF THE CHICAGO METRO.
..SMITH.. 07/01/2011
ATTN...WFO...LOT...
LAT...LON 41498818 42028826 42418803 42448778 42378738 41978716
41538725 41328773 41498818
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|