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Mesoscale Discussion 1350 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1350
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WRN/NRN/CNTRL TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 534...
VALID 220059Z - 220200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 534
CONTINUES.
WW 534 MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED SOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF N-CNTRL TX.
WEST-EAST ORIENTED BAND OF STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS WAS CENTERED FROM
REAGAN TO MILLS COUNTIES AS OF 0055Z. IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT FURTHER
STRENGTHENING OF THE SURFACE COLD POOL SHOULD RESULT IN SEWD
ACCELERATION OF THIS BAND TOWARDS THE HILL COUNTRY DURING THE NEXT
2-3 HOURS WITH OVERALL TRANSITION FROM LARGE HAIL TO A SEVERE WIND
THREAT.
FARTHER W/SW...DESPITE PERSISTENT TCU...CB/S HAVE BEEN RELEGATED
ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN BREWSTER COUNTY. MODEST STRENGTHENING OF
LOW-LEVEL SELYS MAY YET PROVIDE FOR ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT IN
THIS PORTION OF THE WW DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.
FARTHER N...A SMALL E/NEWD MOVING TSTM CLUSTER PERSISTS NEAR MWL AS
A RESULT OF EARLIER SPLITTING CELLS FAVORED BY THE UNIDIRECTIONAL
WLY WIND PROFILE ABOVE 2 KM IN THE 00Z FWD RAOB. THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD CONTINUE TO APPROACH THE METROPLEX AND MAY EVOLVE MORE NEWD
ALONG QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT THAT ARCS TO AROUND 10 SE GYI...BASED
ON CU FIELD PRESENTATION PRIOR TO OVERSPREADING CI CANOPY.
..GRAMS.. 06/22/2011
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 30599712 30089805 29999956 30510118 30030244 29130297
29280384 30770351 31890151 33489719 33539678 33229657
31659680 30599712
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