MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1236
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0557 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 152257Z - 160100Z
   
   AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF W-CNTRL/NWRN KS. THE PROBABILITY OF A SEVERE TSTM WATCH
   ISSUANCE BY 01Z IS 20 PERCENT.
   
   AS OF 2250Z...A FEW DISCRETE CELLS WERE LOCATED FROM THOMAS TO
   WICHITA COUNTIES. THE CELL ALONG THE LOGAN/WICHITA COUNTY BORDER
   APPEARS TO HAVE ATTAINED SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS...SUPPORTED BY
   RATHER VEERED LOW/MID-LEVEL WINDS SAMPLED IN AREA VWP/PROFILER DATA
   AND RESULTANT EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 40 KT. THIS WILL AID IN AN
   ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL THREAT DESPITE MODEST BUOYANCY WITH SURFACE DEW
   POINTS ONLY IN THE MIDDLE 40S TO NEAR 50. THE 40 TO 50 DEG F SURFACE
   DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS CONTRIBUTING TO DCAPE VALUES OF 1000 TO 1500
   J/KG WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF LOCALIZED STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS
   WELL.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/15/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...
   
   LAT...LON   39789969 39169957 38279993 37890030 37830147 38230169
               39710091 39940069 39980035 39940010 39789969