MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1212
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0722 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN ND/FAR NORTHWEST MN
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 140022Z - 140145Z
   
   POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS MAINLY THROUGH
   EARLY/MID EVENING ACROSS EASTERN ND/FAR NORTHWEST MN.
   
   VISIBLE SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY REFLECT AN INCREASE OVER THE PAST
   HOUR OR SO IN CONVECTION ACROSS FAR EASTERN ND...PRIMARILY IN
   VICINITY OF A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH /AUGMENTED BY OTHER BOUNDARY
   MERGERS/ AND COINCIDENT MOIST/INSTABILITY AXIS THAT EXTENDS NNE-SSW
   ACROSS EASTERN ND. THIS ACTIVITY IS ALSO ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE
   GLANCING INFLUENCE OF A NORTHEAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
   SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA. ANY SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
   RELATIVELY ISOLATED AND TEMPORALLY CONFINED TO THE EARLY/MID EVENING
   HOURS...BUT BOUTS OF SEVERE HAIL/GUSTY WINDS VIA SOME SUSTAINED
   SUPERCELLS/MULTICELLS MAY BE POSSIBLE GIVEN MODERATE INSTABILITY OF
   1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE AND VEERING WIND PROFILES AS NOTED PER THE
   GRAND FORKS WSR-88D VWP. FURTHERMORE...SOME TEMPORAL WINDOW FOR A
   BRIEF TORNADO MAY EVEN EXIST /MAINLY THROUGH SUNSET/ GIVEN AMPLE
   MOISTURE/LOW LEVEL CAPE AND MODEST LOW LEVEL SRH IN VICINITY OF THE
   SURFACE WIND SHIFT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 06/14/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
   
   LAT...LON   49079707 48679685 47399665 46389755 46439897 48809766
               49079707