MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1196
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0438 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL NC...N-CNTRL/NWRN SC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 122138Z - 122245Z
   
   A THREAT FOR STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SVR WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST ACROSS
   THE PIEDMONT OF CNTRL NC AND SC OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS. CONVECTIVE
   TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...BUT THERE IS CONSIDERABLE
   UNCERTAINTY WHETHER A NEW WW WILL BE NEEDED ATTM. 
   
   RECENT RADAR REFLECTIVITY IMAGES SHOW TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED INTO A
   BROKEN LINE STRETCHING FROM N-CNTRL NC SEWD INTO THE MTNS OF WRN SC.
   HOT BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS DOWNSTREAM FROM THESE TSTMS HAS
   YIELDED A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT /MLCAPE VALUES OF
   1000-1500 J/KG/ AND WILL SUPPORT FURTHER PROPAGATION TOWARDS THE SE.
   SFC T-TD SPREADS OF 20-25 DEG F ALONG WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES MAY SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED STRONG-SVR DOWNBURST
   WINDS...BUT WEAK DEEP-LAYER FLOW SHOULD PRECLUDE A MORE
   SIGNIFICANT/WIDESPREAD THREAT.
   
   ..ROGERS.. 06/12/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...
   
   LAT...LON   36257683 35547741 34697897 34338039 34168145 34448215
               34828236 35458185 36257987 36457936 36507831 36427749
               36257683