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Mesoscale Discussion 1176 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1176
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL/NERN OK...SERN KS...WRN/CNTRL/NERN MO...FAR
WRN IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 458...
VALID 110047Z - 110145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 458
CONTINUES.
A CONTINUING THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS WILL REMAIN FOCUSED
PRIMARILY ALONG A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM SWRN OK
NEWD INTO ERN MO/WRN IL. A NOTABLE UPSWING IN CONVECTION HAS
OCCURRED OVER THE PAST FEW HRS...FIRST OVER SWRN OK WHERE AN UPPER
IMPULSE BECAME JUXTAPOSED WITH THE COLD FRONT AND AIDED IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG-SVR STORMS. MODEST DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND SFC
T-TD SPREADS AROUND 30 DEG F HAVE SUPPORTED STRONG COLD POOL
DEVELOPMENT WITH CONVECTION ORGANIZING INTO MULTICELL CLUSTERS
/THOUGH OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES MAY STILL BE OBSERVED/. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EWD ACROSS CNTRL/NRN OK...BUT MAY
WEAKEN WITH THE LOSS OF DIABATIC HEATING.
FARTHER N/E...ACROSS SERN KS AND WRN MO...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
GENERALLY REMAINED MORE DISCRETE/ISOLATED...AND HAVE FORMED WITHIN
AN ENVIRONMENT CONTAINING STRONGER ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTIVE SHEAR
/30-40 KTS/ THAN FARTHER S. THIS...ALONG WITH RICH BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE VALUES AOA 2000 J/KG...WILL CONTINUE
TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH AN ENHANCED POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DMGG WINDS. FARTHER E...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INITIATED MORE
RECENTLY OVER ERN MO AND ARE CONGEALING INTO A BROKEN LINE WITH A
GLANCING INFLUENCE FROM A MORE POTENT UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
MN.
..ROGERS.. 06/11/2011
ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...
OUN...
LAT...LON 36139607 35509707 35119835 35089862 35769870 37399718
38479557 39969199 40549079 40299042 38579026 36139607
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