MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1112
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0205 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX / SWRN LA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 061905Z - 062000Z
   
   SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP/INTENSIFY OVER THE
   NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS SWRN LA AND SERN TX.  THE STRONGER STORMS WILL
   FEATURE SPORADIC MICROBURSTS CAPABLE OF POCKETS OF STRONG TO
   LOWER-END SEVERE WIND GUSTS...AND LEAD TO ISOLD WIND DAMAGE. 
   
   VISIBLE SATELLITE/SURFACE COMPOSITE SHOWS A BUILDING CU FIELD
   DEVELOPING FROM NEAR/E OF I-45 N OF HOU EWD INTO INTERIOR PORTIONS
   OF SWRN LA...WHERE TEMPS HAVE WARMED TO NEAR 100 DEG F.  12Z LCH
   RAOB EXHIBITED A VERY MOIST/POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER WITH
   LOWEST 100 MB MEAN MIXING RATIO 18 G/KG.  THE AREA VAD/S
   /KLCH-KHGX...MOST RECENTLY LDB PROFILER/ SHOW 20 KTS 3-4 KM AGL
   FLOW--AND THIS IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN SURROUNDING VWPS/VADS
   ACROSS THE NRN GULF COAST REGION.  THIS BELT OF RELATIVELY STRONGER
   LOWER TO MID TROPOSPHERIC FLOW MAY ACT TO LOCALLY MAXIMIZE ISOLD
   WIND DAMAGE CONCENTRATION.  GIVEN THE STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATE
   ENVIRONMENT...WATER LOADING PROCESSES LEADING TO WET MICROBURSTS
   WILL PROBABLY LEAD TO ISOLD WIND DAMAGE AS STORMS MATURE THROUGH THE
   AFTERNOON AND PROPAGATE SLOWLY WWD.
   
   ..SMITH.. 06/06/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...
   
   LAT...LON   31199283 30799234 30359219 30029233 29949265 29799457
               29859641 30219697 30719721 31269693 31359405 31199283