MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1110
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1248 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...N FL / FAR SERN GA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 061748Z - 061845Z
   
   SCATTERED TSTMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/INTENSIFY OVER THE
   NEXT 1-2 HRS.  THE MORE ROBUST STORMS WILL PROBABLY FEATURE WET
   MICROBURSTS CAPABLE OF SPORADIC WIND DAMAGE DUE TO STRONG TO
   LOWER-END SEVERE WIND GUSTS.  
   
   17Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAKLY CYCLONIC CONVERGENT AREA DUE TO
   BOTH SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS SPREADING INLAND AND BACKGROUND AMBIENT
   LOW LEVEL ENELY FLOW EMANATING FROM HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE
   SRN APPALACHIANS.  THIS AREA IS LOCATED WHERE BUILDING TCU/STORMS
   ARE BLOSSOMING OVER THE PAST HR OR SO.  TEMPS HAVE WARMED INTO THE
   MID 90S AMIDST A VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER WITH ESSENTIALLY
   NO CINH REMAINING.  MODIFYING THE 12Z JAX RAOB FOR CURRENT
   TEMP/DEWPOINT INDICATES THAT MLCAPE NEAR 4000 J/KG HAS DEVELOPED. 
   ALTHOUGH WEAK SHEAR EXISTS...A MOIST PROFILE /PW AROUND 1.75 INCH/
   WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR WATER LOADING IN COMBINATION WITH STEEP LOW
   LEVEL LAPSE RATES---SUPPORTIVE OF WET MICROBURSTS CAPABLE OF
   SPORADIC POCKETS OF STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS THAT WILL
   LEAD TO ISOLD WIND DAMAGE.
   
   ..SMITH.. 06/06/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...
   
   LAT...LON   29508254 30218354 30768298 31208234 31128169 30568145
               29988144 29608137 29308199 29508254