MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1054
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0335 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...WRN NC...ERN TN...ERN KY...WRN VA...SRN WV
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 012035Z - 012200Z
   
   AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE
   CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS THIS AFTERNOON. HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE
   THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THE ACTIVITY. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED
   ACROSS THE REGION DUE TO THE RELATIVELY WEAK SHEAR ENVIRONMENT.
   
   SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS WV AND ERN KY ON THE
   NWRN EDGE OF STRONG INSTABILITY WHERE MESOANALYSIS IS SHOWING MLCAPE
   VALUES IN THE 3500 TO 4500 J/KG RANGE. STRONG STORMS ARE ALSO
   ONGOING ACROSS WRN NC WHERE INSTABILITY IS MAXIMIZED. ALTHOUGH THE
   STORMS ARE LOCATED IN A RELATIVELY WEAK-SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...LAPSE
   RATES ARE QUITE STEEP. 0-3 KM LAPSE RATES ARE ESTIMATED IN THE 7.5
   TO 8.0 C/KM WITH MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES FROM 8.0 TO 8.5 C/KM. THIS
   ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SUPPORT HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE BUT THESE THREATS
   ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MARGINAL.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 06/01/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...
   
   LAT...LON   34978283 35588115 36517994 37737939 38168006 38258105
               38028265 37308342 35328361 34978283