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Mesoscale Discussion 976 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0976
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN LA/SOUTHEAST MS INTO FAR SOUTHWEST AL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 260705Z - 260830Z
AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ACROSS SOUTHEAST LA/FAR SOUTHERN MS AND PERHAPS SOUTHWEST AL THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.
SEVERAL STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
ALONG THE LA/MS BORDER VICINITY EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT...WITH A
MODEST INCREASE IN SMALL SCALE QUASI-LINEAR ORGANIZATION NOTED OVER
THE PAST HOUR OR SO. AN APPROACHING/ARCING LOBE OF DPVA/ATTENDANT
HEIGHT FALLS AS IMPLIED PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOULD CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT...WITH SHORT TERM
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE ACTUALLY SUGGESTIVE OF WEAKENING CINH THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS. IN CONJUNCTION WITH STRENGTHENING FLOW
ALOFT...RELATIVELY MOIST/UNSTABLE INFLOW /MAINLY JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE/ AS PER THE 00Z OBSERVED LCH/LIX RAOBS WILL YIELD SUSTAINED
STRONG UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL/WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.
..GUYER.. 05/26/2011
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...
LAT...LON 29869237 31159123 31838836 30088887 29869237
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