MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0883
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0541 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST KS/WESTERN MO/NORTHEAST OK
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 231041Z - 231215Z
   
   THE STRONGEST TSTMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS/WESTERN MO/NORTHEAST OK
   EARLY THIS MORNING MAY BE CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL. A SEVERE TSTM
   WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.
   
   AMID/NEAR A BROADER AGITATED MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK ACROSS KS/FAR
   NORTHERN OK...ELEVATED TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED/INCREASED
   ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST KS IN THE PREDAWN HOURS. NEAR THE TERMINUS OF A
   40-50 KT BRANCH OF A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET...THIS ACTIVITY IS
   OCCURRING WITHIN A STEEP LAPSE/AMPLE ELEVATED INSTABILITY
   ENVIRONMENT ON THE EDGE OF THE CAP ALOFT AS PER THE 05Z OBSERVED
   LAMONT OK RAOB. VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES/STRONG ELEVATED INSTABILITY
   WILL SUPPORT SEVERE HAIL WITH THIS STRONGEST TSTMS AMID AN
   ADEQUATELY SHEARED CLOUD BEARING LAYER.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/23/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...
   
   LAT...LON   36219611 37099696 38359547 38489426 37979318 37179355
               36219611