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Mesoscale Discussion 879 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0879
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1024 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IL THROUGH SERN MO
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 334...
VALID 230324Z - 230430Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 334 CONTINUES.
THREAT FOR MAINLY DAMAGING WIND AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO
PERSISTS ACROSS REMAINING PORTION OF WW 334 OVER SRN IL AND SERN MO.
STORMS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST OF WW SHORTLY. WW CAN BE LOCALLY
EXTENDED AS NEEDED IN THE LINCOLN AND PADUCAH WFOS...BUT ANOTHER WW
DOWNSTREAM ACROSS IN IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
STORMS HAVE EVOLVED INTO A PREDOMINANT LINEAR MODE FROM CNTRL IL
SWWD THROUGH ERN MO. OTHER MORE DISCRETE STORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN
THE WARM ADVECTION REGIME EAST OF THE LINE ACROSS EXTREME SERN IL
INTO SWRN IND. THESE ARE LIKELY ELEVATED ABOVE THE SURFACE LAYER.
THE LINE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN FAVORABLE 0-2 KM HODOGRAPHS FOR EMBEDDED
MESOCYCLONES AND BOWING SEGMENTS. DAMAGING WIND AS WELL AS A COUPLE
OF QLCS-TYPE TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
HOWEVER...THE STORMS WILL SOON BEGIN MOVING EAST OF MOIST AXIS WHERE
DEWPOINTS ARE ONLY AROUND 60 F WITH MARGINAL MLCAPE. THIS SUGGEST
THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN TO UNDERGO A WEAKENING TREND AS THEY
CONTINUE EWD.
..DIAL.. 05/23/2011
ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...
LAT...LON 39298841 39808818 39938743 39218736 38588810 37768920
36618993 36679071 37119057 37789032 38218968 38688885
39298841
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