MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0693
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0357 PM CDT TUE MAY 03 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...GA AND THE WESTERN/UPSTATE CAROLINAS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 032057Z - 032230Z
   
   STORMS MAY POSE AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
   EVENING...WITH SOME RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL. WITH EXPECTATIONS
   FOR ANY SEVERE THREAT TO REMAIN MARGINAL/ISOLATED...A WATCH IS NOT
   CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.
   
   SCATTERED TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/STEADILY ADVANCE NORTHEASTWARD
   ALONG A COLD FRONT FROM NEAR THE SPINE OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
   SOUTHWESTWARD INTO WEST-CENTRAL GA. THIS AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
   HAS STRONGLY HEATED /80S F/ THIS AFTERNOON AMID SCATTERED CLOUD
   COVER...WITH SBCAPES ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 1000-1500 J/KG JUST
   AHEAD OF THE FRONT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME OF THE STRONGER
   MULTICELLULAR STORMS MAY POSE AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND/OR HAIL
   THREAT AMIDST NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL SOUTHWESTERLY LOW/MID
   TROPOSPHERIC WINDS. HOWEVER...WITH THE STRONGEST VERTICAL SHEAR
   LAGGING /WESTWARD/ THE FRONT...AND GIVEN MODEST NEAR-FRONTAL
   CONVERGENCE/WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT...ONLY A MARGINAL/ISOLATED-TYPE
   SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/03/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...
   
   LAT...LON   35918209 35888087 32068236 32068424 32828460 35918209