MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0590
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0116 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PIEDMONT/COASTAL PLAIN OF THE CAROLINAS/VA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 261816Z - 261915Z
   
   DESPITE NUMEROUS TSTMS ONGOING ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN OF THE
   CAROLINAS/VA...WEAK DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD MITIGATE A MORE ROBUST
   SEVERE THREAT. ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN PULSE-TYPE IN NATURE WITH
   SPORADIC DAMAGING WINDS/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. THE PROBABILITY OF A
   SEVERE TSTM WATCH ISSUANCE THIS AFTERNOON IS 20 PERCENT.
   
   RECENT INTENSIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITHIN A FEW CELLS EMBEDDED
   WITHIN A BROADER REGION OF TSTM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN.
   THIS PULSE-LIKE NATURE SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON AS
   ACTIVITY SLOWLY EVOLVES NWD. ALTHOUGH AREA VWP DATA SAMPLE SOMEWHAT
   STRONGER FLOW BETWEEN 2-4 KM AGL /AROUND 25 TO 35 KT/...WEAKER
   SPEEDS AND A VEER-BACK SIGNAL IN THE WIND PROFILE ABOVE THAT LEVEL
   SUGGESTS ACTIVITY SHOULD STRUGGLE TO ORGANIZE. AS SUCH...A FEW
   DAMAGING WIND/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL EVENTS MAY OCCUR...BUT AN
   ORGANIZED THREAT NECESSITATING A WW ISSUANCE DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 04/26/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...
   
   LAT...LON   35058021 36707846 37717708 37657595 36177572 35017656
               33807878 32518044 32558108 32788140 34088088 35058021