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Mesoscale Discussion 559 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0559
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0802 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN WV...NRN VA...WASHINGTON DC...CNTRL/SRN
MD
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 250102Z - 250200Z
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS A CORRIDOR EXTENDING
FROM CNTRL WV EWD INTO NRN VA AND SRN MD. SOME OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE EXHIBITED WEAK MIDLEVEL ROTATION...AS EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR VALUES ARE NEAR 40 KTS...THOUGH VERTICAL WIND PROFILES
ARE LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL. ADDITIONALLY...MODERATELY STEEP MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES /AROUND 6.5 C/KM PER 00Z IAD SOUNDING/ ARE SUPPORTING A
THREAT FOR HAIL...WITH SOME POSSIBLY APPROACHING SVR LIMITS WITH THE
STRONGEST CORES. WITH THE ONSET OF DIABATIC COOLING...ANY POTENTIAL
FOR DMGG WINDS SHOULD BE RATHER LIMITED...AS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
ROOTED ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER. WEAK DEEP-LAYER FORCING WILL LIKELY
KEEP THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ISOLATED...WHICH SHOULD PRECLUDE THE NEED
FOR A WW.
..ROGERS.. 04/25/2011
ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...
LAT...LON 38147629 38077829 38188000 38378073 38688091 39178052
39387936 39377772 39407691 39337646 39177606 38727576
38397576 38147629
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