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Mesoscale Discussion 377 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0377
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1101 PM CDT FRI APR 08 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NORTHERN OK AND SOUTHEAST/EAST-CENTRAL KS INTO
EXTREME SOUTHWEST MO
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 108...
VALID 090401Z - 090500Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 108 CONTINUES.
TORNADO WATCH 108 CONTINUES UNTIL 06Z...WITH THE PRIMARY SEVERE
THREAT GENERALLY FOCUSED ALONG THE NORTHERN OK/SOUTHERN KS BORDER
VICINITY.
A PERSISTENT SUPERCELL CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY ADVANCE EASTWARD
ACROSS FAR NORTHERN OK...NOW EAST OF I-35 IN KAY COUNTY AS OF 04Z.
IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT THE PRIMARY/MOST CONCENTRATED SEVERE THREAT
WILL REMAIN WITH THIS SUPERCELL ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OK/PERHAPS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KS. WHILE NEAR-SURFACE CINH CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE PER OBSERVATIONAL/OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS TRENDS...RELATIVELY
MOIST/UNSTABLE INFLOW IN THE PRESENCE OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...AND A STRONGLY SHEARED/HIGH HELICITY ENVIRONMENT /EFFECTIVE
SHEAR OF 50+ KT AND EFFECTIVE SRH AROUND 400 M2 PER S2/...WILL
SUPPORT STORM SUSTENANCE WITH A CONTINUED LARGE HAIL/BRIEF TORNADO
THREAT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME DEGREE OF UPSCALE GROWTH MAY OCCUR
/WITH A MODEST FORWARD ACCELERATION/ AND YIELD A CONTINUED SEVERE
HAIL/WIND THREAT EVENTUALLY TOWARD THE I-44 VICINITY OF FAR
NORTHEAST OK/EXTREME SOUTHEAST KS AND SOUTHWEST MO. FARTHER
NORTH...A RELATIVELY MORE CHAOTIC STORM MODE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
WITH SPORADIC SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS OTHERWISE REMAINING
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST/EAST-CENTRAL KS.
..GUYER.. 04/09/2011
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...
LAT...LON 36399654 36769736 37909709 38439636 38509527 36619443
36399654
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