|
Mesoscale Discussion 373 |
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0373
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0351 PM CDT FRI APR 08 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN KY INTO W VA AND PARTS OF SW VA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 106...
VALID 082051Z - 082215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 106
CONTINUES.
SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD WITH
FAVORABLE LARGE-SCALE FORCING AHEAD OF A WEAK FRONTAL WAVE ACROSS
PARTS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA INTO THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS. AT LEAST IN THE NEAR TERM...A DRIER AND MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT APPEARS LIKELY TO PRECLUDE OR INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT INTO
THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. MORE LIKELY...A CONFLUENT
LOW-LEVEL REGIME UPSTREAM OF ONGOING ACTIVITY WILL SUPPORT
INCREASING NEW DEVELOPMENT WESTWARD ACROSS KENTUCKY INTO AREAS
NEAR/SOUTH OF LEXINGTON AND LOUISVILLE BETWEEN NOW AND 23-00Z. IN
THE PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING...RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS MIXED LAYER CAPE
HAS REACHED 1000-2000 J/KG. AN INFLUX OF LOWER/MID 60S DEW
POINTS...COINCIDING WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...RELATIVELY
COOL PROFILES AND STRONG SHEAR COULD STILL YIELD DAMAGING LARGE HAIL
IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER.
..KERR.. 04/08/2011
ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK...PAH...
LAT...LON 38048422 38218324 38478235 38608148 38178076 37058138
36768280 36698453 37048652 37268725 37528773 38078589
38048422
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|