MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0317
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0728 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FL PANHANDLE INTO NRN FL
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 78...
   
   VALID 301228Z - 301430Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 78 CONTINUES.
   
   SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE CURRENTLY ONGOING
   ACROSS THE N CNTRL GULF COAST...TRAINING EWD ALONG CONVECTIVELY
   REINFORCED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND FED BY A SWLY LOW LEVEL JET. 12Z
   TLH AND JAX SOUNDINGS SHOW RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN
   PLACE WITH IN EXCESS OF 7 C/KM AND MODERATE AND ONLY SLIGHTLY
   ELEVATED INSTABILITY PROFILES. 
   
   CONTINUED SWLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL HELP BRING MID TO UPPER 60S F
   DEWPOINT INLAND...REDUCING ANY SURFACE BASED INHIBITION. STORMS TO
   THE W WILL THUS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND
   HAIL AS THEY TRAVERSE THE PENINSULA. A WATCH IS LIKELY FOR PORTIONS
   OF NRN FL BY LATE MORNING AS THE ACTIVITY SPREADS EWD.
   
   ANY EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS MAY ALSO PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES GIVEN A
   MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR...INCREASING
   DURING THE DAY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SYNOPTIC WARM FRONT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/30/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...
   
   LAT...LON   29538647 30118640 30718588 31038458 30978320 30888178
               30738142 29808118 29018079 28888281 29108546 29238638
               29538647