|
Mesoscale Discussion 83 |
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0083
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0900 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN VT...NRN NH...MUCH OF ME
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 021500Z - 022100Z
BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD NRN VT...NRN NH...AND MUCH OF ME
THROUGH LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON. RATES OF 1-2
INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE AREA.
INTENSE ASCENT WITHIN THE DEFORMATION ZONE OF THE STRONG
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NERN CONUS WILL SUPPORT SNOWFALL
RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE DISCUSSION AREA AFTER 16Z.
HOWEVER...STRONG 850-700-MB FRONTOGENESIS WILL AUGMENT THE ASCENT TO
SUPPORT A CORRIDOR OF 2-3 INCH/HOUR RATES WITHIN A 40-60-MILE WIDE
CORRIDOR CENTERED ALONG A LINE FROM 15 MILES NNW OF KBTV TO 30 MILES
NNW KEPM. IN THIS REGION...13Z RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE
ASCENT COINCIDING WITH DEEP DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONES /AOA 150 MB
THICK/ SUPPORTING VERY EFFICIENT SNOW GROWTH. ADDITIONALLY...
PRECIPITATION ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA COULD
EXPERIENCE A CONVECTIVE ENHANCEMENT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE...AS MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN AOA 7
C/KM PER THE RUC MODEL. THE 12Z EXPERIMENTAL HRRR INDICATES HEAVY
SNOWFALL RATES CONTINUING THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON...WITH RATES
BEGINNING TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST FROM 20Z TO 23Z.
..COHEN/ROGERS.. 02/02/2011
ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BTV...
LAT...LON 43986875 43757068 44137314 45247300 45317118 46177028
46796981 46826893 46456776 45846760 44886705 44106838
43986875
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|