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Mesoscale Discussion 17 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0017
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 AM CST MON JAN 10 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AL...CNTRL GA...CNTRL SC
CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION
VALID 100806Z - 101400Z
SIGNIFICANT WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE PHASE OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA THROUGH MORNING WITH SIGNIFICANT ICING AND SLEET LIKELY.
FREEZING RAIN RATES SHOULD AVERAGE 0.05 TO 0.10 IN/HR.
A SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO WITH
INTENSE LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION PROFILES DEVELOPING INLAND ATOP A
COLD AIR MASS. AT 07Z...THE SURFACE FREEZING LINE EXTENDED FROM MGM
TO JUST N OF MCN AND INTO CNTRL SC. HOWEVER...THE SURFACE WET BULB
ZERO LINE WAS MUCH FARTHER S SUGGESTING BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING WILL
TAKE PLACE ONCE PRECIPITATION BEGINS. THEREFORE...AREAS CURRENTLY
JUST S OF THE FREEZING LINE WILL LIKELY CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING
RAIN...WITH AREAS ALONG AND JUST N OF THE CURRENT FREEZING LINE
EXPERIENCING THE LONGEST DURATION.
TO THE N...SNOW ACROSS NRN GA AND INTO CNTRL SC MAY EVENTUALLY
SWITCH OVER TO SLEET AS A WARM NOSE FORMS ALOFT...WITH ACCUMULATING
SLEET POSSIBLE.
..JEWELL.. 01/10/2011
ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...FFC...TAE...BMX...
LAT...LON 31568504 31658564 31858606 32228608 32988577 33488524
33778459 33608358 33648171 33818033 33877919 33697907
33417937 32518125 32088245 31878293 31658370 31568504
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