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Mesoscale Discussion 1 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0001
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0722 PM CST FRI DEC 31 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN LA...CNTRL AND NRN MS...FAR WRN AL
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 772...773...
VALID 010122Z - 010315Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 772...773...CONTINUES.
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WIND...HAIL...AND TORNADOES WILL PERSIST THIS
EVENING.
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN INTENSITY HAS BEEN NOTED OVER THE LAST COUPLE
HOURS WITH STORMS OVER NRN LA AND SWRN MS...ON THE LEADING EDGE OF A
MORE SUBSTANTIAL GULF MOISTURE RETURN WITH DEWPOINTS OF 68-70F. THE
00Z LCH SOUNDING SHOWED SUBSTANTIAL BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE IN PLACE
BENEATH RATHER STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. WHILE INSTABILITY WILL
BE SLIGHTLY LESS FARTHER N...GRADUALLY COOLING PROFILES ALOFT AND A
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET WILL FAVOR SEVERE STORMS EVEN INTO NRN
MS AND WRN TN.
DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS
AREA-WIDE...BUT LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE OVER MS WHERE
A 50-60 KT LOW LEVEL JET WILL SET UP LATER THIS EVENING. ONGOING
SUPERCELLS OVER NERN LA WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT AS THEY
TRAVEL NEWD...AS WELL AS ANY OTHER CELLS THAT MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE
MOISTURE SURGE EXTENDING EWD ACROSS CNTRL MS AND EVENTUALLY INTO WRN
AL.
..JEWELL.. 01/01/2011
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...
LAT...LON 32668790 31918866 31149020 31109106 30989330 31319356
32239265 33379150 34759028 34898963 34818877 34028825
32668790
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