MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0883
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0325 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2010
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NE CO...NW/N CNTRL KS...SW/S CNTRL NEB
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 102025Z - 102230Z
   
   THE INITIATION OF STORMS IS STILL UNCERTAIN...BUT TRENDS ARE BEING
   MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT AND WW.
   
   
   INHIBITION FOR MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER PARCELS STILL APPEARS
   CONSIDERABLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...BENEATH VERY WARM ELEVATED
   MIXED LAYER AIR ADVECTING OFF THE ROCKIES.  BUT RUC GUIDANCE
   INDICATES THAT CAPE HAS BECOME LARGE...ON THE ORDER OF 3000-4000
   J/KG...IN RESPONSE TO STRONG SURFACE HEATING IN THE PRESENCE OF
   STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.  AND POCKETS OF STRONGER BOUNDARY LAYER
   CONVERGENCE APPEAR TO BE DEVELOPING NORTHEAST OF THE LEE SURFACE
   CYCLONE...AS WELL AS ALONG A REMNANT CONVECTIVELY GENERATED OR
   ENHANCED BOUNDARY NOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE KANSAS/ NEBRASKA BORDER
   AREA.  COUPLED WITH LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH BROADER SCALE WARM
   ADVECTION...FORCING MAY BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY
   SCATTERED STORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE 21-23Z TIME FRAME.  THIS IS
   SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION RAPID REFRESH.  IF THIS DOES
   INDEED OCCUR...VERTICAL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH MODESTLY STRONG AND
   VEERING WIND FIELDS WITH HEIGHT IS PROBABLY SUFFICIENT FOR
   SUPERCELLS.  IN ADDITION TO THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED
   TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.  BUT...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES APPEAR MORE
   FAVORABLE FOR STRONG DOWNBURSTS AND SURFACE COLD POOL
   EVOLUTION...ACCOMPANIED BY POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
   
   ..KERR.. 06/10/2010
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...
   BOU...
   
   LAT...LON   39140305 40030316 40890214 41030107 40589814 39959707
               38599767 38509898 38389977 37600039 37430161 38230174
               38530196 38790261 39140305