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Mesoscale Discussion 979 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0979
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0531 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MO...SERN IA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 072231Z - 072330Z
A NEW TORNADO WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED E OF WW342...FROM NRN MO INTO
SERN IA.
STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM JUST SE OF THE KANSAS CITY AREA ALONG A
WARM FRONT. A MODIFIED 19Z TOP SOUNDING INDICATES THAT CAPPING HAS
BECOME MINIMAL. THE PRESENCE OF THE LEAD UPPER WAVE AS WELL AS
PERSISTENT BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE CONVERGENCE BENEATH STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUGGEST THESE STORMS MAY SOON BECOME SEVERE.
THE LTH PROFILER SHOWS ONLY WEAK LOW LEVEL FLOW...BUT VEERING WITH
HEIGHT WHERE IT BECOMES STRONG ENOUGH FOR SUPERCELLS. THE
ENVIRONMENT IS LIKELY TO BECOME MORE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS AND
TORNADOES WITH TIME AS THE LOW LEVEL JET AND SHEAR STRENGTHEN.
..JEWELL.. 06/07/2009
ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...
LAT...LON 37829484 38899416 40509356 41439335 41719267 41689168
41079122 40169136 39399173 38629224 37929277 37619406
37829484
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