MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1949
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1255 PM CDT TUE AUG 09 2005
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND SERN TX
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 091755Z - 091930Z
   
   STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO REGENERATE OVER MUCH OF TX THROUGH THE DAY.
   A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL AND WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS
   AFTERNOON. THE NEED FOR A WW IS NOT EXPECTED HOWEVER.
   
   LARGE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY STRETCHES ACROSS NWRN INTO SERN TX AND WILL
   SERVE AS PRIMARY FOCUS FOR DEVELOPMENT. LARGE SCALE LIFT WILL REMAIN
   FAVORABLE WITH WEAK UPPER LOW/TROUGH AXIS IN PLACE...AND ISENTROPIC
   LIFT N OF BOUNDARY DUE TO PERSISTENT SLY LOW LEVEL JET OF 10-20 KTS.
   
   WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY IN PLACE AND WEAK SHEAR...STORMS SHOULD
   REMAIN RATHER UNORGANIZED WITH OCCASIONAL DOWNBURSTS THE MAIN
   THREAT. HAIL MAY OCCUR AS WELL...ESPECIALLY OVER W CENTRAL TX WHERE
   DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS MORE FAVORABLE FOR LONG LIVED UPDRAFTS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 08/09/2005
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...
   
   31359670 31859596 32069539 31259401 29849408 29279508
   28789564 28689634 28979718 30950050 32180158 33110187
   32780157 32950103 32860014 32279958 31529786