MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1890
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0208 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2005
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NEW ENGLAND AND ERN NY
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 692...
   
   VALID 271908Z - 272115Z
   
   18Z ALBANY SOUNDING INDICATES THAT THE WARM SECTOR HAS BECOME
   MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF 2330 J/KG AND NO INHIBITION. 
   PRIMARY CONVERGENCE AXIS REMAINS ALONG THE PRE-FRONTAL/LEE TROUGH
   SITUATED FROM CNTRL NH ACROSS SRN VT AND INTO NERN PA. TSTMS REMAIN
   COINCIDENT WITH THIS TROUGH...BUT THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT OTHER
   STORMS WILL FORM FARTHER E ACROSS NRN NJ...SERN NY...NWRN CT AND WRN
   MA THROUGH 20Z.  
   
   THE ALBANY SOUNDING ALSO SHOWS A FAVORABLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT TO
   SUPPORT SUPERCELLS THAT WILL MOST LIKELY BE EMBEDDED WITHIN SHORT
   LINE SEGMENTS. STRONGER CELLS MAY PRODUCE HAIL...BUT THE PRIMARY
   CONCERN IS FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ACROSS INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND AND
   ERN NY...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND.  TSTMS WILL GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND
   MAY EVOLVE INTO SMALL LEWPS/BOWS AS THEY HEAD EWD INTO SRN
   NH...CNTRL/WRN MA...CT AND THE NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA THROUGH LATE
   AFTN/EVE.
   
   ..RACY.. 07/27/2005
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM...
   
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