MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1390
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0323 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2005
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN ND/NW MN
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 192023Z - 192200Z
   
   STORMS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING IN ERN ND AND SHOULD HAVE A LARGE
   HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE THREAT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A WW WILL BE ISSUED
   ACROSS THE REGION SHORTLY.
   
   AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS LOCATED ACROSS ERN ND
   EXTENDING NEWD ACROSS FAR NW MN. AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY IS
   LOCATED ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE BOUNDARY WITH STRONG LOW-LEVEL
   CONVERGENCE NEAR THE BOUNDARY ITSELF. THE CAPPING INVERSION IS GONE
   AND STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FROM ALONG THE BOUNDARY. STORMS WILL
   LIKELY INITIATE AND DEVELOP BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST. FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS SHOW FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES FOR SEVERE STORMS AND
   SUPERCELLS APPEAR POSSIBLE DUE TO THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AND
   SHEAR IN PLACE. ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY
   DEVELOP...THE MAIN THREAT WITH THE CONVECTION SHOULD BE LARGE HAIL
   AND WIND DAMAGE.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 06/19/2005
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
   
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