Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 187
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1135 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
North-Central Kansas
Central Nebraska
* Effective this Monday morning and evening from 1135 AM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms are forecast to
develop this afternoon across the Watch area. Supercells capable of
tornadoes, large to very large hail, and severe gusts are forecast.
A strong tornado or two is possible later this afternoon, mainly
across portions of north-central Kansas into south-central Nebraska
as the environment becomes increasingly favorable for tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north northeast of Ainsworth
NE to 35 miles south of Russell KS. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Smith
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 187
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1135 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
North-Central Kansas
Central Nebraska
* Effective this Monday morning and evening from 1135 AM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms are forecast to
develop this afternoon across the Watch area. Supercells capable of
tornadoes, large to very large hail, and severe gusts are forecast.
A strong tornado or two is possible later this afternoon, mainly
across portions of north-central Kansas into south-central Nebraska
as the environment becomes increasingly favorable for tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north northeast of Ainsworth
NE to 35 miles south of Russell KS. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 187 TORNADO KS NE 061635Z - 070000Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NNE ANW/AINSWORTH NE/ - 35S RSL/RUSSELL KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /27NNE ANW - 66WSW SLN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 42979807 38349725 38340039 42970143
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 187 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 187
VALID 062335Z - 070040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S RSL TO
50 W CNK TO 25 ESE HSI TO 30 NNE GRI TO 20 E ANW TO 40 NNE ANW.
..LEITMAN..05/06/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 187
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-053-089-105-123-167-070040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON ELLSWORTH JEWELL
LINCOLN MITCHELL RUSSELL
$$
NEC015-059-071-089-103-115-125-129-143-149-169-183-185-070040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD FILLMORE GARFIELD
HOLT KEYA PAHA LOUP
NANCE NUCKOLLS POLK
ROCK THAYER WHEELER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 187
VALID 062235Z - 062340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW RSL
TO 45 N RSL TO 25 S HSI TO 15 N GRI TO 10 WNW BUB TO 35 WNW BUB
TO 30 NE VTN.
..LEITMAN..05/06/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 187
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-053-089-105-123-141-167-183-062340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON ELLSWORTH JEWELL
LINCOLN MITCHELL OSBORNE
RUSSELL SMITH
$$
NEC015-017-035-059-071-077-081-089-103-115-121-125-129-143-149-
169-183-185-062340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD BROWN CLAY
FILLMORE GARFIELD GREELEY
HAMILTON HOLT KEYA PAHA
LOUP MERRICK NANCE
NUCKOLLS POLK ROCK
THAYER WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 187
VALID 062140Z - 062240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE DDC
TO 50 SSW HSI TO 30 ESE BBW TO 20 NNE BBW TO 30 NNW BBW TO 25 WSW
ANW TO 20 NNE VTN.
..LEITMAN..05/06/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 187
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-051-053-089-105-123-141-165-167-183-062240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON ELLIS ELLSWORTH
JEWELL LINCOLN MITCHELL
OSBORNE RUSH RUSSELL
SMITH
$$
NEC001-009-015-017-019-035-059-061-071-077-079-081-089-093-099-
103-115-121-125-129-143-149-163-169-175-181-183-185-062240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLAINE BOYD
BROWN BUFFALO CLAY
FILLMORE FRANKLIN GARFIELD
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HOLT HOWARD KEARNEY
KEYA PAHA LOUP MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS POLK
ROCK SHERMAN THAYER
VALLEY WEBSTER WHEELER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 187
VALID 062035Z - 062140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE DDC
TO 45 NE HLC TO 15 SSE BBW TO 30 NE MHN TO 40 NW VTN.
..LEITMAN..05/06/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 187
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-051-053-089-105-123-141-163-165-167-183-062140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON ELLIS ELLSWORTH
JEWELL LINCOLN MITCHELL
OSBORNE ROOKS RUSH
RUSSELL SMITH
$$
NEC001-009-015-017-019-031-035-059-061-071-077-079-081-089-093-
099-103-115-121-125-129-143-149-163-169-175-181-183-185-
062140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLAINE BOYD
BROWN BUFFALO CHERRY
CLAY FILLMORE FRANKLIN
GARFIELD GREELEY HALL
HAMILTON HOLT HOWARD
KEARNEY KEYA PAHA LOUP
MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS
POLK ROCK SHERMAN
THAYER VALLEY WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 187
VALID 061940Z - 062040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE DDC
TO 40 WSW EAR TO 40 WNW VTN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 651.
..LEITMAN..05/06/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 187
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-051-053-089-105-123-141-147-163-165-167-183-062040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON ELLIS ELLSWORTH
JEWELL LINCOLN MITCHELL
OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SMITH
$$
NEC001-009-015-017-019-031-035-041-059-061-071-077-079-081-083-
089-093-099-103-115-121-125-129-137-143-149-163-169-171-175-181-
183-185-062040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLAINE BOYD
BROWN BUFFALO CHERRY
CLAY CUSTER FILLMORE
FRANKLIN GARFIELD GREELEY
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HOLT HOWARD KEARNEY
KEYA PAHA LOUP MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
POLK ROCK SHERMAN
THAYER THOMAS VALLEY
WEBSTER WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 187
VALID 061840Z - 061940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE GCK TO
40 SE LBF TO 45 WNW VTN.
..LEITMAN..05/06/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 187
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-051-053-065-089-105-123-135-137-141-147-163-165-167-183-
195-061940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON ELLIS ELLSWORTH
GRAHAM JEWELL LINCOLN
MITCHELL NESS NORTON
OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SMITH
TREGO
$$
NEC001-009-015-017-019-031-035-041-047-059-061-065-071-073-077-
079-081-083-089-093-099-103-113-115-121-125-129-137-143-149-163-
169-171-175-181-183-185-061940-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLAINE BOYD
BROWN BUFFALO CHERRY
CLAY CUSTER DAWSON
FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS
GARFIELD GOSPER GREELEY
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HOLT HOWARD KEARNEY
KEYA PAHA LOGAN LOUP
MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS
PHELPS POLK ROCK
SHERMAN THAYER THOMAS
VALLEY WEBSTER WHEELER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 187
VALID 061745Z - 061840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..05/06/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 187
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-051-053-065-089-105-123-135-137-141-147-163-165-167-183-
195-061840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON ELLIS ELLSWORTH
GRAHAM JEWELL LINCOLN
MITCHELL NESS NORTON
OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SMITH
TREGO
$$
NEC001-009-015-017-019-031-035-041-047-059-061-063-065-071-073-
077-079-081-083-089-093-099-103-111-113-115-121-125-129-137-143-
149-163-169-171-175-181-183-185-061840-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLAINE BOYD
BROWN BUFFALO CHERRY
CLAY CUSTER DAWSON
FILLMORE FRANKLIN FRONTIER
FURNAS GARFIELD GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOLT HOWARD
KEARNEY KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
POLK ROCK SHERMAN
THAYER THOMAS VALLEY
WEBSTER WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.