Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on May 27, 2024
Updated: Mon May 27 21:57:02 UTC 2024 (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in
MS-Word or
PDF. Note: On February 23, 2021 the Probabilistic Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks became operational. Please see the Service Change Notice 20-115 for more details.
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 272153
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0453 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain mostly low in the
extended, with large-scale ridging expected over the western US.
This will limit concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains
where fuels are the driest. Elevated and spotty Critical fire
weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain
across central and southern New Mexico into portions of Arizona,
where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity
and very warm temperatures, mainly on D3/Wed. A small 40 percent
delineation was added where confidence is highest in single digit
relative humidity overlapping 10-15 mph sustained winds.
Mid-way through the period D5/Friday, a trough across the
Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface
troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to
Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western
Texas through the end of the period. Differences in long range model
solutions on the overall height pattern and progression of any
troughs leads to low confidence in the overall pattern and including
areas at this time.
..Thornton.. 05/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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