SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 685
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 AM CDT MON AUG 2 2004
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA
SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 300 AM UNTIL 800 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF FARGO
NORTH DAKOTA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF SAINT CLOUD MINNESOTA.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 683...WW 684...
DISCUSSION...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING ACROSS EXTREME
W CENTRAL MN AND SE ND. THIS CONVECTION IS FORMING IN ADVANCE OF A
WEAK MID LEVEL SPEED MAX...AND IS DEVELOPING CLOSER TO THE
SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY IN MN WITH TIME. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE
THAT THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY
WHILE MOVING INTO AN AREA WITH GREATER INSTABILITY...AND THE
COMBINATION OF VERTICAL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A THREAT
FOR LARGE HAIL WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS. WITHIN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...CONVECTION MAY BECOME BASED CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE SURFACE TO
SUPPORT A DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS WELL ACROSS CENTRAL MN.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31030.
...THOMPSON
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