SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 556
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
940 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2004
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 940 PM UNTIL
400 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MILES
NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF DODGE
CITY KANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHANUTE KANSAS.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 554. WATCH NUMBER 554 WILL NOT BE
IN EFFECT AFTER 940 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 551...WW 555...
DISCUSSION...STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOCUSING
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THIS REGION OVERNIGHT...GIVEN
INFLUX OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STEEP LAPSE RATES. EXPECT
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL AID IN
SHIFTING MCS ESEWD INTO SERN KS AND NERN OK LATER THIS EVENING.
ONCE FORWARD PROPAGATING SYSTEM DEVELOPS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BECOME PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT. OTHERWISE...LARGE HAIL SHOULD
ACCOMPANY MORE CELLULAR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE TOP OF COLD POOL
DEVELOPING OVER SWRN KS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...EVANS
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