SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 497
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM CDT FRI JUN 18 2004
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL 1000
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES NORTHEAST OF DALHART TEXAS
TO 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 495...WW 496...
DISCUSSION...AIR MASS IS STRONGLY UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH A SERIES OF SURFACE BOUNDARIES EXTENDING FROM E-SE
TO THE W-NW ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE. OVERALL EVOLUTION SHOULD BE
SIMILAR TO THE PAST FEW EVENINGS...WITH INITIAL DEVELOPMENT OF
SUPERCELLS EVENTUALLY EVOLVING INTO A FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS.
PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS WILL BE FROM LARGE HAIL...SOME OF WHICH COULD
BE VERY LARGE...AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23015.
...EVANS
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