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Severe Thunderstorm Watch 469
Initial RADAR image for Watch 469

Related md1277 for watch 469

Note: The WATCH PROBABILITY TABLES are non-operational and can only be viewed within noaa.gov.
   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 469
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   120 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2004
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS
          NORTHWEST MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL 900
   PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES
   NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF SALINA
   KANSAS TO 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI.
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
   PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
   WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
   WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
   TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 467...WW 468...
   
   DISCUSSION...E/W BOUNDARY ACROSS NWRN MO AND JUST S OF KS/NEB BORDER
   EXPECTED TO FOCUS INITIATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  WITH MLCAPES
   ABOVE 4000 J/KG AND ONLY A WEAK CAP REMAINING STORMS WILL DEVELOP
   NEXT 1-2 HOURS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND DOWNBURST WINDS PRIMARY
   THREAT.  DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS GIVEN THE
   EXTREME INSTABILITY.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28025.
   
   
   ...HALES
   
   
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