SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 277
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM EDT MON MAY 24 2004
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN CONNECTICUT
DELAWARE
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN MARYLAND
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK INCLUDING WESTERN LONG ISLAND
EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
SOUTHERN VERMONT
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL 900
PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF GLENS
FALLS NEW YORK TO 40 MILES WEST OF WILMINGTON DELAWARE.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 271...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 274. WATCH NUMBER 271 274 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 355
PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 272...WW 273...WW 275...WW 276...
DISCUSSION...MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROF HAS ENHANCED CONVECTIONS
ACROSS CENTRAL NY AND PA AHEAD OF ADVANCING COLD FRONT ACROSS WRN NY
AND PA. AIR MASS IS VERY UNSTABLE WITH LIFTED INDICES BETWEEN -4
AND -7 AND SBCAPE TO 3000 J/KG. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE
STEEPENING TO 7C/KM INDICATING THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...MCCARTHY
|