SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 42
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT SUN APR 4 2004
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 800
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MILES
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 125 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF SANDERSON
TEXAS TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF SANDERSON TEXAS.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 41...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE STARTING TO DEVELOP OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF SWRN TX AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NRN MEXICO AS DIURNAL
HEATING AND DYNAMIC FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SRN END OF NRN MEXICO
SHORT WAVE TROUGH ENHANCE UPWARD MOTION. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS
REGIONS OF ENHANCED HEATING/DESTABILIZATION OVER THE BIG BEND
AREA...WITH MUCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG BASED ON HOURLY RUC DATA.
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING SEWD FROM FST-MRF IS EXPECTED TO ENHANCE LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND AID IN DEVELOPMENT OF NEW STORMS. STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR RESULTING FROM SELY LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERING TO SWLY
ALOFT WILL SUPPORT STRONG/SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 22030.
...WEISS
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