DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1130 AM CDT SUN JUN 25 2023 VALID TIME 251630Z - 261200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42248297 41558252 41068205 38718227 38038264 36308493 35908572 35808746 36218847 36808868 37388850 37988783 39598695 41318665 42968617 43928587 43948489 42248297 0.05 40348611 41378607 41948572 42118525 42228482 42158422 41898367 41118329 40308317 39618301 38998308 38288346 37658446 36878579 36778656 37118742 37598754 38308700 38958673 40348611 0.10 39358607 40268573 40758559 41188529 41248495 41118445 40628405 39928386 39438363 38978371 38638397 38088463 37928546 38078633 38458645 39358607 SIGN 38588623 39468592 40048555 40118522 40138512 40038430 39448385 38858399 38178482 38068547 38158620 38588623 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40920509 42460561 43000481 42690383 41130308 40860343 40610435 40920509 0.05 42568079 42418034 40977975 39807993 37308150 35358308 34208394 33118471 31428610 30278785 30279054 31999296 32949496 33489612 34409738 35159725 35599673 36189481 36439336 37558964 38228853 39008773 39668743 40888740 41718759 42298682 42798657 43758658 44788598 45308476 44968301 42888214 0.15 39068262 38498278 37078381 36528471 35798550 35018578 33958567 33348617 32888681 32668753 32578870 32349035 32309092 32879242 33519466 33889591 34529650 34999640 35699521 35929405 36279242 36808996 37788795 39238685 40628669 41488687 41968653 42288607 43938588 43958491 42908327 39068262 0.30 40408617 41048601 41698548 41648444 40658404 39808429 38638483 37738563 37428600 37458673 37678697 38018694 38998642 40408617 0.30 34919453 35519402 35799261 35859094 35669015 34989043 34399136 34179239 34179318 34249382 34529447 34919453 SIGN 42678490 42148439 40998367 40048373 39118384 38328417 37518483 36888625 36698748 37018787 37858720 38988660 40458638 41088637 42298565 42678542 42678490 SIGN 35489466 35689373 35929274 36049183 36099134 35919032 35608980 34429009 33859098 33469211 33409308 33809444 34229547 35019558 35489466 && ... WIND ... 0.05 40610435 40940512 42460562 43000481 42690385 41130308 40850359 40610435 0.05 37278146 36148151 34578176 33558264 32218430 31418570 30678685 30268787 30299056 31499259 32329437 32919582 33669678 34219712 34579708 35319662 35839551 36489336 36839118 37218959 38118794 39378698 40678671 41798740 42898743 44298646 44298649 44908564 45308471 44978302 43698208 43038207 42508207 42578076 42428033 40987976 39817990 37278146 0.05 43931163 42751281 42331426 42241507 42421591 42831605 43431554 43821442 44691374 45761351 46921242 47581079 47680977 46650904 45650957 43931163 0.15 39618102 36818270 35578367 34988400 34338425 32938516 32398575 31458659 30858806 31039018 32649330 33209471 33629581 34239620 34599616 35049590 35279520 35609420 35969358 36329217 36708998 37678775 38788660 39698618 40748609 41268631 41968611 43938589 43968492 42798253 41948184 40948112 39618102 0.30 36628760 37258718 38588626 39768578 40828566 41718545 41648416 41188308 39288264 38798251 38418282 37888323 37508355 37028399 34788740 33458810 32708882 32459026 32979255 33839433 34889456 35739276 35808961 36628760 SIGN 39488567 40678556 41408520 41388434 40538370 39538319 38968301 38128360 37648438 37848557 38218605 39488567 SIGN 35819116 35618987 34518964 33868987 33349076 33279152 33549230 33989325 34459382 34949384 35399350 35749274 35819116 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 35519402 35799261 35859094 35789064 35808961 36628760 37628692 38018694 38998642 41048601 41698548 41648416 41188308 38798251 37028399 34788740 33458810 32708882 32459026 32979255 33839433 34889456 35519402 SLGT 34999640 35699521 36808996 37788795 39238685 40628669 41488687 41968653 42288607 43938589 43968492 42798253 40948112 39618102 36818270 35578367 34338425 32938516 31458659 30858806 31039018 32649330 33629581 34529650 34999640 MRGL 42578076 42428033 40977975 39817990 37278146 36148151 34578176 33558264 32218430 30678685 30268787 30279054 31499259 32919582 33669678 34219712 34409738 35129723 35599673 36189481 36549300 37558964 38228853 39008773 39668743 40888740 41718759 41858740 42898743 44298649 44578610 44788598 45308476 44978302 43698208 43038207 MRGL 43431554 43821442 44691374 45761351 46921242 47581079 47680977 46650904 45650957 43931163 42751281 42331426 42241507 42421591 42831605 43431554 MRGL 43000481 42690383 41130308 40860343 40610435 40920509 42460562 43000481 TSTM 35187475 35807689 37297898 37097980 36538077 35348084 34108120 32618193 32088327 30928470 28958545 99999999 28648366 30708049 99999999 28168940 29099009 29979082 30409217 31289496 32839642 32169757 30319885 29580073 28340219 99999999 30150598 31280245 32460064 33529910 34509753 34839760 35419720 37049483 37429281 37679083 37848963 38728857 39918818 40588801 41468934 41609091 41899252 43769565 46259579 47789263 48199052 48708964 99999999 49580558 46520663 44960601 43950380 43290147 42120092 41240118 39970245 39600359 40150496 41280649 42120747 42020968 41651276 40591478 39351686 38141791 37231872 37651958 38702101 40062193 39862230 39532235 39042257 39312311 40082368 41362403 42472401 44862108 46581841 47131726 47541719 47831807 47112034 47352162 48272240 49612382 99999999 45947093 47236630 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE FSM 30 SSW FLP 15 W JBR JBR 20 SW DYR HOP 15 ESE OWB 25 NNE OWB 15 SE BMG 45 W FWA 35 S AZO 20 WNW TOL 35 ENE FDY 30 N HTS LOZ 15 E MSL 25 ESE CBM 25 N MEI 75 S GWO 25 SE ELD 15 SSE DEQ 10 SSE RKR 25 ENE FSM. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW MLC 10 E MKO 30 E POF 30 SW EVV 15 WNW BMG 20 NE LAF VPZ 15 SSW BEH 20 ENE BEH 30 SE MBL 30 SSW HTL 20 NE MTC 15 E CAK 30 NE PKB 30 NW TRI 25 SE TYS 50 NNE ATL LGC 25 E GZH 15 NE MOB 20 ESE MCB 35 ENE SHV 20 W PRX 35 ENE ADM 35 WNW MLC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW ERI 25 NNW ERI 30 SSE FKL 10 N MGW 15 W BLF 30 NNW HKY 25 SSE SPA 40 WNW AGS 45 ESE CSG 20 WSW CEW 35 SE MOB 25 NW MSY 20 WNW ESF 45 NNW TYR 10 WSW GYI 10 SW ADM 20 WNW ADM 30 SE OKC 10 SSE CQB 30 S GMJ 20 NNE HRO 25 N CGI 20 ESE MVN 40 SW HUF 15 NNW HUF 40 NW LAF 35 WNW VPZ 35 NW VPZ 20 ENE RAC 10 W MBL 20 NNE MBL 20 W TVC 20 S PLN 30 ESE APN 45 E BAX 50 NE MTC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE BOI 25 NNW SUN 30 SSE SMN 50 NNE SMN 30 NW HLN 30 ENE GTF 45 NNW LWT 35 SE LWT 45 E LVM 35 NE IDA 15 SW PIH 15 SE TWF 35 WSW TWF 35 NNE OWY 50 S BOI 35 ESE BOI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE DGW 40 WSW CDR SNY 30 SW SNY 35 ENE FCL 20 SW CYS 25 SSW DGW 35 ENE DGW. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E HSE 50 N EWN 10 ESE LYH 20 SSE ROA 40 S PSK 10 NE CLT 15 NNW CAE 40 NE VDI 50 SSE MCN 30 E MAI 60 SSW AAF ...CONT... 75 SSW CTY 65 ESE SSI ...CONT... 80 S BVE 45 WSW BVE 30 NNW HUM 20 NW LFT 15 WNW LFK 25 E DAL 35 E SEP 55 ESE JCT 20 NE DRT 105 SW DRT ...CONT... 115 SSE ELP 35 NE FST 55 ENE BGS 45 SW SPS 30 WNW ADM 30 SE CHK 20 E OKC 20 WSW JLN 35 ENE SGF 25 WSW FAM 20 WNW MDH 20 ENE SLO 10 SSE CMI 35 NW DNV 35 W MMO 25 WNW MLI 40 W CID 10 NNW OTG 30 NW AXN 30 NNE HIB 30 NNW GNA 75 NNE GNA ...CONT... 100 N OLF 35 W MLS 45 SW 4BQ 40 W RAP 55 S PHP 10 ENE MHN 25 WNW LBF 45 ESE AKO 25 N LIC 20 S FCL 40 W LAR 25 NNW RWL 45 NW RKS 45 SW MLD 40 WSW ENV 20 ESE U31 45 W TPH 20 WSW BIH 60 ENE MER 30 ENE SAC 20 ESE RBL 20 S RBL 45 S RBL 35 E UKI 15 NNE UKI 55 SSE EKA 25 N ACV 30 NNE 4BK 40 N RDM 35 N ALW 25 NNW PUW 15 ESE GEG 30 WNW GEG 20 SSW EAT 35 ESE SEA 35 S BLI 80 NW BLI ...CONT... 90 N BML 85 ENE CAR.