DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1129 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2022 VALID TIME 221630Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29950276 30340319 31210341 32960345 35900288 37210229 39410216 40170228 41240264 41590288 41910352 42450434 43470468 44470404 44880330 45200206 44900058 44829803 44539663 43669626 42759704 41009786 39179856 37989884 36499921 35759953 34560006 33560073 32640117 31720156 31290168 30750182 30080202 29900223 29950276 0.05 32540269 32670290 33140295 33620291 34640282 35680253 36500206 37630178 38990175 39980171 40640155 41450078 41529971 41209938 40799927 39739934 38609961 37519997 35820005 34830029 33960069 33000174 32580220 32540269 0.05 43940405 44280319 44560161 44330098 43960084 43430103 42870182 42650244 42540351 42730404 43010429 43530430 43940405 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28860293 29660321 31070354 31970360 34370347 37440282 38330268 39810263 41210292 41770378 42050482 43060552 44400546 45160514 46000425 46760298 47849986 48469606 48409321 47658973 46258826 45578808 44338892 43368964 43078958 42368893 41828907 41328927 40899147 40869355 41849500 41839612 41309664 39369718 37579793 36099873 34989935 32520104 31380134 29460151 0.15 38570197 39400192 41270219 41760240 42200318 42430409 42650464 43690478 44400468 44950430 45370377 45890278 46440106 46339943 45649800 44439660 43299666 41959738 39379837 37219903 35549977 33320111 32750170 32510201 32370265 32540307 32920325 33370327 35450283 37010230 38570197 0.30 34810079 34410117 34140168 34180234 34460253 34830254 35300239 36340201 37810162 38510144 39780110 40550096 41090077 41300057 41319998 41099950 40579942 39489964 38239985 36590005 35680039 34810079 SIGN 32970205 32890251 33050282 33490303 34460283 36830211 38440169 39350145 40830108 41480078 41840048 41919981 41259897 40329893 37719955 36759987 35780015 33830120 33290149 32970205 SIGN 44240404 44630336 44970242 45200149 45050082 44930072 44510073 44120081 43460118 42860233 42750333 42900419 43410433 44240404 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31770270 32110338 32970357 34160349 35760321 38630281 39590277 41290313 42390375 43240447 43590465 44150448 44850343 45490214 45769986 45839737 44279569 41499562 40209600 38509699 34719982 32080172 31770270 0.15 40270228 41450251 42130283 42680337 43200335 43980292 44440165 44620002 44869856 44199734 43459730 41259744 39209783 37779845 36779894 35040009 34070125 33850190 33800242 34410300 36960230 40270228 0.30 36850164 38100146 38870154 40040160 40920166 41540166 41750156 41940121 41740062 41149971 40089965 38629962 37529965 36719970 35760036 35580110 35950171 36850164 SIGN 36780191 39000195 41010215 41580205 41940182 42250156 42360125 42420053 42089938 41579908 40619916 39699902 38119904 36899928 35739998 34970067 34730163 34980218 36780191 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 41740062 41299994 41099950 40579942 39519964 38629962 37529965 36719970 35680039 34810079 34410117 34140168 34180234 34460253 34830254 35300239 36340201 37810162 38340149 38870154 40040160 40920166 41540166 41750156 41940121 41740062 SLGT 46339943 45649800 44439660 43299666 41959738 41919740 41259744 39209783 37779845 36779894 35549977 35549977 34260055 33960069 33320111 32750170 32510201 32370265 32540307 32920325 33370327 35450283 37000230 40270228 41450251 41950274 42200318 42430409 42650464 43690478 44400468 44950430 45370377 45890278 46440106 46339943 MRGL 28600284 29660320 31020354 32970357 34160349 35760321 38630281 39590277 41290313 41380317 41770378 42050482 43060552 44400546 45160514 46000425 46760298 47849986 48469606 48409321 47658973 46258826 45578808 44338892 43368964 43078958 42368893 41828907 41318927 40899147 40869354 41849500 41849563 41499562 40209600 38509699 36689841 36089873 34989935 32530104 31370134 29330140 TSTM 29320463 31650390 33170379 35310367 37260332 38220306 39560299 40070310 40570324 40950353 40840389 39980462 38870509 37350664 36380923 35341100 34681272 35331548 36521707 38211779 38911927 39862222 41972397 43712397 45172357 46262223 46512035 46331766 47061731 48541993 49662113 99999999 49541208 47461325 45541490 44181676 42201639 41591553 41841397 42881295 44621201 44751185 45561057 45660768 47000640 47970471 48800349 49530219 99999999 43357985 41758018 41078161 39748509 39038780 39239083 38859384 38049611 35719774 33090002 31820072 30690060 29340048 28660093 99999999 25758322 25238177 25108102 24738003 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE MHN 20 WSW BBW 25 SSE BBW 25 WSW EAR 15 NE HLC 45 WSW RSL 25 SE DDC 55 W AVK 55 E BGD 40 NW CDS 35 ENE PVW PVW 35 W PVW 45 E CVS 55 WSW AMA 40 W AMA 35 SW GUY 50 W GCK 50 NW GCK 35 SSE GLD 35 S IML 25 N IML 45 SW MHN 30 SW MHN 10 SW MHN 30 SE MHN. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW JMS 25 ENE ABR 15 NE BKX 20 S FSD OFK OFK 15 SSW OLU 25 SSW CNK 35 NNE P28 15 W AVK 35 WNW CSM 35 WNW CSM 20 SW CDS 40 SW CDS 50 ESE LBB 40 NNW BGS 35 NW BGS 40 ESE HOB 15 SE HOB 15 N HOB 50 N HOB 40 SSW DHT 20 W EHA 40 WSW IML 35 NE SNY AIA 20 WNW AIA 25 N TOR 40 E DGW 60 SE GCC 40 E GCC 55 SW 2WX 20 SW 2WX 30 W Y22 30 SSW BIS 55 SW JMS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 SSW 6R6 65 WSW 6R6 40 W FST 30 NW HOB 20 SSW CVS 40 WSW DHT 40 N LAA 35 NW ITR 15 NNW SNY 20 NNW SNY 10 SW BFF 35 W TOR 25 NNW DGW GCC 20 SE 4BQ 25 S BHK 10 WSW DIK 45 WSW DVL 30 NNE TVF 15 SE INL 30 ESE GNA 30 NNW IMT 15 S IMT 30 NW OSH 20 NW MSN 15 WSW MSN 15 NE RFD 25 S RFD 30 W MMO 20 WNW BRL 25 NE LWD 20 ESE DNS 15 SW DNS 20 NE OMA 25 WNW FNB 40 ESE SLN 15 ESE AVK 45 S AVK 25 NNW LTS 35 NE BGS 50 W SJT 30 W DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SSW MRF 40 WSW INK 45 E ROW 10 NNW TCC 40 W SPD 25 WNW LAA 40 ENE LIC 10 SE AKO 25 N AKO 30 WSW SNY 50 WSW SNY 20 NE DEN 20 W COS 40 W ALS 60 WSW FMN 25 NW INW 15 W PRC 55 SSW LAS 60 W DRA 40 WNW TPH 40 E TVL 20 S RBL 15 ESE 4BK 25 NE OTH 35 WNW SLE 50 NNE PDX 10 ESE YKM 30 W LWS 25 NNW PUW 20 WNW OMK 85 NE BLI ...CONT... 65 NNE CTB 55 NE MSO 55 SE P69 50 NNW BOI 20 NNW OWY 40 SE OWY 50 SSW BYI 20 W PIH 15 ENE MQM 25 ENE MQM 10 SSW LVM 40 ESE BIL 45 NNW MLS 30 NW SDY 45 N ISN 95 NNW MOT ...CONT... 65 WNW BUF 25 S ERI 15 NW CAK 40 SSE MIE 40 SW HUF 40 NW STL 20 WNW SZL 20 SSE EMP 25 NNW OKC 50 NNW ABI 35 NNW SJT 45 S SJT 25 E DRT 50 S DRT ...CONT... 95 WSW APF 45 N EYW 25 N MTH 65 E MTH.