DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1147 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2022 VALID TIME 211630Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 27349669 27479831 28109914 29139951 30119964 31709952 33180087 33910126 34480129 34910072 35070031 35209967 35239876 35429582 35199382 35059300 34509199 33949143 33329119 32769172 32199232 31059285 30139332 29009385 0.05 27889615 28009685 28319845 29809896 31579883 32159890 33119970 33990012 34389991 34529951 34439850 34729611 34389409 33399243 33079209 32509218 31469301 30579350 29019424 0.10 32579409 32249356 31239362 30599401 29919459 29429582 29189754 29419828 30639826 31719798 32429801 33289813 33529791 33649719 33399584 32969468 32579409 0.15 31069706 31739672 32069572 31779536 31459531 30959542 30389635 30499696 31069706 SIGN 29489813 29769813 30209800 30649779 31069769 31319759 31739746 32139739 32579736 33069729 33349689 33309637 33199571 32969488 32649432 31999365 31309359 30639413 29919461 29499566 29389684 29289765 29489813 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 27279649 26789902 27259943 28249949 29059979 30689968 31140005 31300018 31170104 31480161 32360183 34050184 34810215 35310257 35700242 35790233 36070130 36129984 36019850 35769730 35429555 35249401 34949234 34539146 33979108 33429119 32169241 31509299 30329368 29709404 29009427 0.15 27839603 28089855 29219938 30819919 32169945 32569964 32940031 33340057 34100079 34410075 34630066 34830038 34939983 34849915 34809803 34769624 34529476 34289351 33989249 33529212 32969210 31479332 29769438 28799459 0.30 29579557 29149623 29019704 28939791 29129849 30199845 31239826 32149826 32709851 33229861 33419837 33589748 33539674 33289616 32559535 32199485 31739442 31369432 30899449 30549466 30139495 29579557 0.45 30729800 31459730 31839638 31859591 31559569 30899563 30099620 29589680 29459745 29709797 30219810 30729800 SIGN 29469910 30279896 31149881 32019892 33039911 33790018 34230026 34490000 34459943 34079820 34089772 34129680 33979583 33679487 32929422 32289414 31949424 30879476 29959532 28809652 28519725 28419812 28649854 28859885 29149902 29469910 && ... WIND ... 0.05 27259598 27159811 27479914 28529940 30749937 31549932 32609966 33000008 33280087 33610125 34440124 35010095 35370030 35349928 35129774 35339542 35129396 34899294 34629173 34459127 33969066 33099130 32239233 30679313 29939354 29009385 0.15 27859628 28079828 28589854 29239861 30329823 31659796 32739800 33579778 33959735 34079689 34169637 34139568 33989427 34009330 33979242 33449183 32949187 31409312 30629368 29819423 28459452 0.30 29459572 29569691 30099732 30979730 32169684 32769645 33039581 33239439 33089380 32759340 32159353 31089391 29999473 29459572 0.45 31099709 31629687 32299564 32219509 31899483 31169477 30229615 30449694 31099709 SIGN 31769666 32299564 32209508 31909481 31179479 30249620 30439675 31769666 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 32209509 31899483 31509480 31179479 30389600 30099620 29589680 29459745 29709797 30219810 30729800 31459730 31739672 32299564 32209509 ENH 33399584 33139513 33239439 33089380 32759340 32049357 31239362 30599401 29919459 29459572 29459574 29149623 29019704 28939791 29129849 30199845 31239826 32149826 32709851 33229861 33419837 33509793 33529791 33649719 33399584 SLGT 27889635 28009759 28089855 29219938 30819919 32169945 32569964 32940031 33340057 34100079 34410075 34630065 34830038 34939983 34849915 34809803 34769624 34529476 34289351 33979248 33979242 33449183 32949187 32589216 32509218 31469301 30579350 29149417 MRGL 27199680 26789902 27259943 28249949 29059979 30689968 31140005 31300018 31170104 31480161 32360183 34050184 34810215 35310257 35700242 35790233 36070130 36129984 36019850 35769730 35429555 35249401 34949234 34519144 34449127 33969067 33099130 32629187 32199232 31059285 30139332 29279372 TSTM 31021070 31951118 32531084 32400931 33250861 34350827 35400865 36800773 36920661 36450513 36800367 36870205 37750081 40359822 41149586 41599396 41279148 40599057 39928795 38728650 37128651 36458780 35458902 33729050 32119229 30869283 29119375 99999999 26879683 26599801 26529869 26559934 99999999 27499997 30609974 31170020 30890068 30340110 29910159 29310224 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE TYR 35 S GGG 20 N LFK LFK 25 ESE CLL 35 SSE CLL 50 N VCT 40 ESE BAZ BAZ 25 WSW AUS 35 NNW AUS 15 SSW ACT 30 SW CRS 15 WSW TYR 20 ESE TYR. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW PRX 40 SSE PRX 25 SW TXK 30 SSE TXK 30 NE SHV 30 SSE SHV 30 WNW POE 45 N BPT 35 W BPT 25 NNW LBX 30 NW LBX 30 N PSX 15 NW VCT 40 NNW NIR 30 S SAT 40 NW BAZ 50 W TPL SEP 25 WSW MWL 45 NW MWL 40 S SPS 45 SE SPS 45 SE SPS 30 W GYI 30 SW PRX. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S PSX 15 NNW CRP 40 NW ALI 15 SW HDO 40 ENE JCT 20 SE ABI 10 NNE ABI 50 NW ABI 75 ESE LBB 35 SW CDS 25 W CDS 25 WNW CDS 30 NNW CDS 35 WNW LTS 15 NNE LTS 20 S CHK 25 WSW MLC 35 SSW RKR 25 WSW HOT 35 WSW PBF 30 WSW PBF 15 SSW LLQ 30 NNE MLU 10 WNW MLU 10 W MLU 20 SSE IER 35 NNW LCH 40 ESE GLS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SE CRP 60 SSE LRD 20 S LRD 20 SW COT 40 WSW HDO 10 NNE JCT 30 ESE SJT 20 ESE SJT 35 WSW SJT 50 SE MAF 20 WNW BGS 10 SW PVW 35 SW AMA 50 W AMA 25 SSE DHT 20 SE DHT 25 NNE BGD 65 NNW CSM 40 SW END 25 W CQB 20 SSW MKO 20 ESE FSM 15 NNW LIT 35 NE PBF 40 ENE PBF 40 NNE GLH 30 SW GLH 10 NE MLU 30 SW MLU 20 E POE LCH 50 SSE BPT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW FHU 20 SW TUS 30 NNE TUS 35 SSE SAD 50 NNW SVC 60 SSW GNT 10 SE GUP 25 S DRO 55 SW ALS 40 WSW RTN 40 NW CAO 10 SW EHA 15 SSW GCK 20 SSE HSI 10 SSE OMA 15 WNW DSM 40 NNW BRL 30 ESE BRL 20 ESE CMI 30 SSE BMG 10 NNW BWG 25 SW HOP 10 SSW MKL 30 WNW GWO 30 SSW MLU 25 ESE POE 60 SSE BPT ...CONT... 75 SSE CRP 30 NNE MFE 35 NW MFE 70 S LRD ...CONT... 30 W LRD JCT 20 SE SJT 35 SSW SJT 70 N DRT 40 ESE 6R6 50 S 6R6.