DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0759 AM CDT WED JUL 28 2021 VALID TIME 281300Z - 291200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48049165 46468854 44288629 42778460 42238448 41688478 41478576 41318785 42879111 44489374 45309471 45979528 46769529 47569515 48299434 48219261 48049165 0.05 44199221 44439260 45069328 45439356 45889381 46919398 47909366 47879184 46758981 45548826 44648743 43598770 42908784 42608866 42718959 43069036 43459106 44199221 0.10 47069179 46229070 44928857 44318814 43768806 43558813 43408822 43278838 43208855 43178890 43288939 43508998 44599199 45249280 46319330 46939321 47329231 47069179 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48519117 45858692 43948581 42458574 41378714 41368814 42069018 44539505 45859540 47529516 48829446 0.15 43968757 43308756 42648776 42548829 42618922 42989088 43519191 44249338 44929414 45449439 46779461 47519420 47899360 47889187 46078855 45458804 43968757 0.30 47329232 47099148 45628891 45218874 44588910 44238968 44179090 44659159 45549253 46229329 46959321 47329232 SIGN 45759333 46949322 47539295 47689204 46989058 46178915 45238873 44538911 44228968 44199044 44149111 44309161 45099300 45759333 && ... WIND ... 0.05 34617590 34557805 34817846 35067844 35607784 36527748 37837790 38347844 38837960 39438146 39888447 40078565 40268668 40758827 44549508 45889539 47549520 48769447 48379100 43118295 42348132 42038058 40597748 39557581 39087534 38437464 0.15 44249337 44949415 45439437 46789459 47529422 47909364 47899186 42968373 42418305 41928325 41028365 40798433 40668481 40528556 40988729 41558853 41828917 42769087 43589225 44249337 0.30 44009192 44439260 45189311 45749333 46939323 47339232 47119152 42788457 42268447 41698479 41468572 41798757 42728971 43309083 43869168 44009192 0.45 46459147 46209071 44788843 44168769 43668760 42808771 42488783 43529004 44649163 45549252 45939240 46419190 46459147 SIGN 45209280 45789304 46119286 46369228 46449150 46439033 45758915 43548569 42898550 42218553 41678633 41678682 41788754 42728968 43309078 43659132 45209280 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 44138768 43688760 42828770 42498784 43478992 44669163 45559251 45979241 46419190 46459149 46219073 44818846 44138768 ENH 41478574 41798757 42718970 43319084 44439260 45239311 45769333 46949323 47339232 47119152 42768457 42248448 41698479 41478574 SLGT 44289345 44939415 45449439 46799460 47529421 47909362 47909187 45818812 42968374 42418305 41928325 41028367 40808430 40658487 40538555 40988728 41798911 42879107 44289345 MRGL 48159062 43168304 42838236 42828225 99999999 42338133 41868019 40597752 39597588 38457467 99999999 34617589 34567807 34827846 35067844 35647782 36537748 37867790 38357846 38817955 39438146 39888447 40268669 40818839 44539507 45859541 47539518 48829445 TSTM 42717938 42147717 41547486 40327297 99999999 38870429 36940409 34970379 34840277 34890140 34689952 34839660 34489426 34209253 33748789 33818513 34448286 35378156 37227986 37978042 38388287 38538319 38988640 39488844 40109049 41029263 41249485 41279634 41139716 40759849 40569989 40450097 40570176 41030213 41540276 41900342 41850393 41290447 40660453 39780441 38870429 99999999 32411658 33441695 34001727 34381754 34631758 35371667 35621589 35391515 35321452 36141380 36801347 37231385 37421473 36801639 36171776 35821810 35791830 35991851 37251952 38432015 39592048 40401821 40991700 42611646 43081691 43531769 43651858 43242009 42732119 42532215 42822252 43292274 43782257 44682134 45002021 45001928 45071815 45281732 45921644 46561566 48151436 48411257 47191079 46020941 45190863 44420807 44420733 45010638 45640532 46090440 46320383 46440325 46230247 45780202 45210148 45030031 45139932 45639823 46329735 47909736 49029742 TSTM 31781281 32431322 32891359 33281426 33441486 33451562 33231601 32381590 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MTW 30 S MTW RAC 20 S RAC 20 NE LNR 15 SSW EAU 60 NE MSP 60 S DLH 30 SSE DLH 30 WSW ASX 25 SSE ASX 30 NW GRB MTW. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE SBN 40 NW VPZ 35 SSW MSN 35 W LNR 35 N RST 25 NNE MSP 40 ENE STC 35 SSW HIB 25 E HIB 10 SW BFW LAN JXN 45 SSW JXN 35 ESE SBN. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E MKT 45 S STC 20 WSW STC 35 NW BRD 35 E BJI 45 SSW INL ELO IMT FNT 15 SW MTC 20 SSE DTW FDY 35 WSW FDY 30 SE FWA 20 NNW MIE 35 SSW VPZ 30 S RFD 35 NNW DBQ 25 E MKT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW GNA 40 ENE FNT 30 ENE MTC 35 ENE MTC ...CONT... 60 WNW ERI 15 S ERI 25 SE UNV 15 WSW ILG 45 E SBY ...CONT... 45 SSW HSE 20 NNW ILM 25 ESE FAY 25 ENE FAY 15 SSE RWI 15 ENE RZZ 35 ESE CHO 15 N CHO 15 ESE EKN PKB 15 W DAY 15 SE LAF 35 NE BMI RWF AXN 10 W BJI 40 E RRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW BUF 15 W ELM 10 SSW MSV 35 S ISP ...CONT... 25 E COS 25 SSE TAD 20 SW TCC 45 NE CVS 30 SE AMA 15 W LTS 45 NNE ADM 30 NNE DEQ 35 W PBF 35 ENE CBM 35 S RMG 10 WSW AND 25 SSW HKY 10 SE ROA 15 NNW SSU 20 W HTS 35 WNW HTS 15 SE BMG 10 W MTO 40 ENE UIN 10 WSW OTM 45 NE SDA 25 W OMA 25 SSE OLU 10 NNW HSI 45 NE MCK 25 NW MCK 10 WNW IML 45 E SNY 35 NNE SNY 10 E BFF 15 W BFF 20 ENE CYS 30 ENE FCL 25 E DEN 25 E COS ...CONT... 15 SSW CZZ 45 SE RAL 10 ENE RAL 30 N RAL 25 SE EDW 35 N DAG 50 SW LAS 50 S LAS 35 W IGM 60 N IGM 20 SSE SGU 15 NW SGU 20 SW P38 25 WNW DRA 35 N NID 25 WNW NID 35 WNW NID 50 NE BFL 35 NNE FAT 35 SSW TVL 40 W RNO 30 NE LOL 30 NNW BAM 50 NNW OWY 50 SW BOI 65 E BNO 20 ENE BNO 65 WSW BNO 50 NE LMT 35 NW LMT 35 NNE MFR 60 SSE EUG 40 SE EUG 30 NNW RDM 65 SE DLS 55 SSW PDT 25 NW BKE 40 NE BKE 40 SE LWS 30 N P69 15 SSW GPI 15 SSW CTB 35 SE GTF 35 SE 3HT 40 S BIL 30 N WRL 30 SW SHR 35 ENE SHR 15 NNE 4BQ 20 SSW BHK 20 E BHK 35 SW DIK 25 NW Y22 15 SE Y22 55 WSW MBG 35 S MBG 50 WSW ABR 15 NE ABR 50 SSW FAR 10 WSW GFK 30 NW HCO. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 S GBN 45 SW GBN 50 W GBN 35 SE BLH 15 SW BLH 35 ESE TRM 30 SSE TRM 35 SSW IPL.