DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0247 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2020 VALID TIME 142000Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 41618754 41718475 41758419 41938302 41408282 40508402 40058564 39188840 38399035 37809245 37049457 37009536 36989652 37259725 37789772 38659732 39839568 40809382 41259033 41618754 0.05 38999642 39699505 40219378 40789132 41008908 40828840 40298828 39968871 39289064 38679264 38069432 37889550 38179645 38999642 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 35159938 35100036 35910059 36470067 38210401 39220395 39520315 39300199 38389973 38669787 39799665 40459600 41409544 41849436 41929188 42339030 42538796 42728476 43038302 42878279 42168274 40978341 40448440 37978908 36749002 35779073 34789168 34759362 35869467 36009741 35159938 0.05 47199340 47199481 47929628 48399647 48789594 48789477 48479306 47929286 47199340 0.15 38529741 39679599 40599505 41119371 41219102 41358950 41708711 41608618 41148600 40768638 39428894 38459065 37679338 36989564 36999717 37749765 38529741 0.15 35599917 35389968 35400013 35930034 36320032 36459995 36519913 36329898 35849891 35599917 SIGN 35739916 35509972 35620015 35910026 36260025 36389995 36439954 36429917 35989894 35739916 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42637976 42117885 40807887 40247963 39728080 39298209 39018559 37328911 36108997 34789164 34779365 35889475 36029745 35169938 35110032 35910059 36500072 38220403 39230385 39510320 39280186 38359969 38729781 40299612 41449536 41859430 41899192 42329038 42508793 42738486 42998311 43378168 0.15 40539509 41139373 41189184 41288994 41698709 41698464 41948310 41968175 41818076 41248063 40918140 39938462 39298758 37369114 36539356 36489455 36609689 37639762 38519747 39619608 40539509 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 41268065 40918140 39898474 39298754 38648884 37359114 36529356 36459458 36609690 37729764 38579737 39689597 40589509 41139373 41219080 41428896 41668729 41688476 41938313 41948171 41808076 41268065 SLGT 35990035 36310030 36469993 36499917 36319899 35899890 35589915 35409964 35430015 35990035 MRGL 42838007 42117886 40837887 40247964 39738078 39278213 39018559 37358907 36089001 34759165 34789367 35869471 36029739 35149943 35100035 35850057 36530071 38210404 39220388 39510316 39230173 38379971 38689781 40319609 41439539 41829436 41919194 42329035 42538781 42748480 43048289 43398171 MRGL 48459303 47969286 47189333 47179474 47949635 48449650 48829593 48769485 48459303 TSTM 26469927 26549840 26539751 26479659 99999999 28219555 28589766 28779807 29709816 30859750 32319669 33319660 33459741 32779820 31729879 31619930 31959986 33310014 35780111 36620215 36710327 36680416 36990529 37580574 37750581 39380767 40091004 41131159 42091447 42251855 43012119 44322466 99999999 49391864 47301339 45930883 44800396 43750209 43510054 43369962 42199813 41989681 42409538 43059390 43739059 43978808 44348469 45188144 99999999 44627592 43977368 42057141 40537288 39897436 38407645 37507799 36377897 35718065 35838298 36468403 36738479 36678591 35788699 31548824 29058815 99999999 25728383 27088130 26897866 99999999 48248788 46768782 45408818 44579197 45009517 45589621 46259641 47949785 49339900 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM YNG CAK 25 W DAY 15 SW HUF SLO 50 SW FAM 30 NW HRO 15 SE GMJ 15 SE PNC 10 WNW ICT 20 SE SLN 35 SW FNB 20 SE SDA 30 S DSM 25 SW MLI 15 WNW MMO 20 NW VPZ 45 SSW JXN 25 SSE DTW 35 N CLE 35 WSW ERI YNG. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE BGD 65 SE LBL 70 SE LBL 35 SW AVK 35 SSW AVK 45 NNE CSM 15 N CSM 25 WNW CSM 55 W CSM 60 ENE BGD. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N ERI 20 E JHW 25 S DUJ 15 WSW LBE 30 SSW HLG UNI 55 E BMG 25 NW PAH 35 W DYR 35 E LIT 40 NW HOT 30 WSW FYV 35 SE END 20 SW CSM 45 N CDS 45 ENE BGD 40 SSE LBL 25 E PUB 10 WSW LIC 30 ENE LIC 10 SSW GLD 45 NNE DDC 10 SW SLN 30 WNW FNB 30 ENE OMA 40 WNW DSM 10 W CID 20 ESE DBQ 15 S RAC 10 WSW LAN 30 N MTC 70 ESE BAX. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE INL 40 N HIB 25 WSW HIB 25 SSE BJI 10 SW TVF 30 NNW TVF 10 WSW ROX 25 ESE RRT 20 ESE INL. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WNW MFE 25 NNW MFE 40 N BRO 65 NE BRO ...CONT... 55 SE PSX 15 N NIR 35 NW NIR 10 W BAZ 20 SSW TPL 25 NW CRS 30 S GYI 45 N FTW MWL 10 ESE BWD 25 WSW BWD 35 SSW ABI 65 NNW ABI 15 ENE BGD 30 SSW EHA 20 NNW CAO 20 E RTN 45 SE ALS 15 NE ALS 25 N ALS 45 WNW ASE 35 SW VEL 25 ESE OGD 25 S TWF 40 SW REO 65 NNE LMT 35 WSW ONP ...CONT... 75 NNE OMK 40 NE MSO 15 WNW BIL 55 SSW 2WX 30 SW PHP 45 N VTN 30 SSW 9V9 35 SE ONL 30 E OFK 15 SSW SLB 30 WSW MCW 20 SW VOK 25 WSW MTW HTL 105 E APN ...CONT... 45 N ART 40 SE SLK 20 N PVD 20 SSE ISP 10 S NEL 10 N NHK 35 W RIC 25 SE DAN 35 NNE CLT 10 WSW HSS 45 S LOZ 45 WSW LOZ 35 SE BWG 30 SW BNA 60 N MOB 80 ESE BVE ...CONT... 130 WSW APF 40 S AGR 90 E PBI ...CONT... 80 NNE CMX 20 NW MQT 30 S IMT 30 SW EAU 30 N RWF 20 NNE VVV 45 SSW DTL 30 W GFK 85 N DVL.