DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CDT THU MAY 18 2017 VALID TIME 181200Z - 191200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30030100 30870100 32610049 34450023 34890020 35590032 36900114 37560187 38200199 38880201 39580153 40240002 40679652 40489420 39069288 37389351 35809434 32309666 29639990 30030100 0.02 45277252 44137352 43087503 41797863 40878250 40488502 40638629 41058626 41548582 42518226 0.05 31839941 31919962 32030000 32610012 34129997 36000018 36860060 37630111 38600105 38960053 39439976 39609736 39369491 38929435 38069418 37629437 36269495 35199571 34049690 32259809 31839941 0.10 33889929 34079943 34529981 36190005 36780023 37590075 38230073 38620065 39209966 39399739 38849562 37939527 37219556 36359625 35339762 33879843 33889929 0.15 34749888 34829929 35119955 36309987 36870003 37670056 38450050 39019956 39159738 38569596 37779586 37049623 36499656 35429783 34779833 34749888 0.30 35819878 35969935 36979959 37650008 38220005 38619907 38649783 37939705 36909711 35809816 35819878 SIGN 34349896 34569935 35199967 36790013 37650068 38490063 39079964 39219742 38619585 37699578 36479645 35589758 34429832 34349896 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46946731 43147316 42287493 41477775 39208429 38388848 37769115 35899371 31769617 29269809 27529994 99999999 29120277 30570227 32920067 34880041 35740065 37060212 37850345 39140349 39990274 40740043 41299610 41029310 40919094 41108944 42068636 43788192 0.15 29580217 30560184 31160148 32650048 34840020 35650034 36890111 37480182 38010193 38960198 39550155 40269997 40699662 40449417 39079290 37839332 35949427 31319723 29569862 28030035 0.15 45297243 43987383 43107502 41897832 40858262 40548481 40708632 41078621 41578581 42108383 42538226 0.30 34769890 34839928 35179959 35589970 36720022 37660075 38540064 39179971 39409732 39219623 38869485 37999458 36619522 36029617 35669688 35359778 34799835 34769890 0.45 35799870 35979932 37059967 37650006 38250000 38619910 38619782 37939707 36939710 36249772 35819815 35799870 SIGN 31939951 32019998 32670018 33590009 35089996 36810040 37630081 38570068 39049976 39189761 38799675 38039630 36859642 35609743 34219825 32059904 31939951 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29520261 30500230 31570160 32910071 34890042 35670061 37050207 37830343 39100352 39980275 40780024 41309619 41039313 40939091 41088933 42078629 43778199 99999999 46846745 45436989 43157312 42267497 40658025 39128465 37719121 35949367 32479577 31619629 29219812 27539997 0.15 29510218 30500185 32610049 34730018 35670034 36920115 37430180 38100198 38940197 39550157 40180020 40679660 40459418 39079288 37809334 35989422 32729635 31379715 29569864 28030035 0.15 45237254 44147355 43087503 41887844 40988200 40538466 40678629 41118619 41538574 42518227 0.30 34739891 34829929 35019947 35159957 36890005 36950012 37700058 38030064 38680059 38870032 39349972 39609741 39399498 38909432 38049420 36259497 35789576 35729675 35329765 35139804 34769834 34739891 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... HIGH 35799874 35969933 37009963 37690008 38240003 38639908 38659786 37919705 36929711 35819815 35799874 MDT 34759891 34849930 35099954 36139983 36900004 37680055 38450050 39029957 39159738 38559597 37759588 36479655 35409785 34779833 34759891 ENH 33879927 34559983 36190005 36830027 37550074 38050074 38610067 39359972 39599741 39389495 38929431 38019420 36269494 35779577 35719675 35319765 33879844 33879927 SLGT 45237254 44197350 43057504 41837854 40898242 40538493 40648633 41018622 41548582 42508221 SLGT 29500219 30510187 32630047 34820018 35600033 36930113 37460182 38120197 38930199 39550156 40230008 40689661 40449418 39099289 37859331 35999423 31429713 29589859 28060035 MRGL 29600260 30460234 32900069 34930041 35730064 36960195 37860343 39140351 40000271 40750037 41319626 41049317 40909095 41078948 42098624 42888440 43768195 99999999 46836750 45996897 44857075 43097319 42277493 40638030 39068486 38538773 37739120 35889372 31719619 29239809 27559992 TSTM 45276608 43496892 42587052 40947352 39657554 38727702 36347984 34818140 33318286 32168364 30788457 30148504 29498607 99999999 29049416 29459700 28129827 26819965 99999999 28810319 30630284 32120160 33200090 34030068 34880067 35520084 36010135 36330173 36480261 35690371 34910422 34080517 33660637 33820785 34050832 35320944 36490981 37860994 38980906 40210716 41340539 42390272 43059515 42809248 42428815 43888649 45398684 46118655 47248567 99999999 49181428 48561365 47481329 46301461 46051607 46381728 47131858 48731959 49252006 && THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE CSM 35 SE GAG 50 N GAG 10 SW DDC 35 N DDC 20 SW RSL 15 SW SLN 25 NE ICT 15 N PNC 40 SSW END 40 NE CSM. THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE LTS 15 N LTS 25 SW CSM 10 SSW GAG 45 NNW GAG 20 SSE GCK 40 NNE GCK 30 SSE HLC 30 NNE SLN 20 NE EMP 20 WNW CNU 35 ESE PNC 15 W OKC 10 NNE FSI 20 ENE LTS. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W SPS 25 ENE CDS 15 WSW GAG 40 ESE LBL 25 S GCK 10 N GCK 45 N GCK HLC 15 ENE CNK FLV 20 SE MKC 60 SW SZL 25 SSW GMJ 25 WNW MKO CQB OKC 10 SSE SPS 45 W SPS. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW EFK 25 SW BTV 20 ESE UCA BFD MFD 30 NE MIE 35 ENE LAF 50 S SBN 30 ESE SBN 30 ESE MTC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S 6R6 40 NNE 6R6 50 WNW ABI 30 NNE CDS 55 SSW GAG 10 SW LBL 30 N EHA 40 E LAA 25 SE ITR 15 NNE GLD 25 E MCK 15 SE LNK 15 SW LWD 40 WNW COU 45 N SGF FYV 15 SSE ACT 10 WNW SAT 65 WNW LRD. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW 6R6 30 NNW 6R6 65 NE BGS 35 NNW CDS 40 E BGD EHA 15 SSE LHX 10 SE LIC 30 ESE AKO 30 SSE LBF 20 W OMA 20 S OXV 15 NE BRL 30 NNE PIA 10 ESE BEH 10 NE LAN 50 E BAX ...CONT... 25 E CAR 55 W HUL 25 ENE BML 25 SE GFL 40 N MSV 10 NNW PIT 25 W LUK 35 NNW EVV 40 SE VIH 25 ESE FYV 25 SSE CRS 30 SE SAT 30 W LRD. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE EPM 70 E PWM 30 ENE BOS 25 WNW ISP ILG 10 S DCA 15 NNE GSO 35 ESE SPA 50 W AGS 35 S MCN 30 NNW TLH 30 N AAF 55 SSW PFN ...CONT... 40 ESE GLS 40 N VCT 30 NNW ALI 50 SSW LRD ...CONT... 105 SW 6R6 20 SSE FST 10 SW BGS 60 ESE LBB 35 SW CDS 40 NW CDS 35 ESE BGD 20 N BGD 25 SSW GUY 30 E CAO 35 N TCC 40 WSW TCC 30 E 4CR 40 SE ONM 55 NW TCS 80 SSW GNT 40 WSW GUP 80 SSW 4BL 30 NW 4BL 30 WSW GJT 30 SE CAG 15 E LAR 25 N AIA 10 S SPW 15 NNW ALO 30 SW RAC 30 SSW MBL 25 SSE ESC 40 NE ESC 80 NW ANJ ...CONT... 60 N GPI 30 ENE GPI 55 NE MSO 50 ENE P69 25 WSW P69 10 W LWS 45 ESE EPH 20 N OMK 60 NNW OMK.