DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1027 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017 VALID TIME 211630Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30348077 28888357 99999999 28589045 29769213 31789396 33889468 34949424 35679299 36169049 35848882 34698525 34338071 33197832 0.05 30588085 29128377 99999999 28108890 30149043 30749127 31479313 32139380 32729400 33699412 34489383 35189224 35179016 34028549 33998121 32717885 0.10 29718792 30448828 31418803 32178697 32888481 33398208 33188090 32418120 31548242 28828561 0.10 31379172 31709304 32219357 32759376 33789381 34079345 34039259 33749115 32689028 31629070 31379172 SIGN 29858801 30458828 31428802 32178697 32938493 33418216 33218090 32448115 31658224 29578503 29858801 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29239328 29889331 30409358 30979380 31679463 33589623 34609671 35499624 36439416 37629103 37758963 36088488 35438276 34717953 33417777 99999999 30338077 28888357 0.15 28329019 29949234 31169342 31879409 33249483 34419518 35319477 36129278 36399087 35108576 34258354 34038137 33498071 32408125 30988195 29408415 0.30 33948940 32678835 32258803 31158835 30828976 30729185 31609312 32129380 32689401 33709409 34429387 34969299 35009159 34509016 33948940 0.45 32388959 31729022 31759192 32929337 34039328 34479221 33539028 32388959 SIGN 32709402 33699409 34249381 34479293 34319186 34029086 32878982 32178984 31429072 31389173 31679316 32139381 32709402 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29189327 29879332 30989382 31739463 33259524 33439521 34389518 35329479 37629104 37768964 36658649 35578354 34697954 33427765 99999999 30338077 28898357 0.15 28478980 29569088 30729181 31509316 32179390 32689403 33729408 34469385 35709167 35958915 35088559 34228039 32837887 99999999 30598089 29138377 0.30 29718808 30408834 31538807 32358707 33038522 34008138 33498071 32478114 31548233 28928579 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 32378964 31729020 31759192 32939341 33999323 34429218 33569029 32378964 ENH 28659006 29159060 30739181 31639315 32209386 32779407 33659415 34389391 34949289 34979149 33988935 32618830 32368710 32938525 33578335 34008133 33468072 32358125 31158298 29458515 SLGT 28299013 29999235 31209348 31879409 33269485 34419518 35319477 36129278 36399087 35938883 35088559 34228039 32677866 99999999 30468108 29858231 29098378 MRGL 29219331 29939333 31009385 31749464 33529623 34649670 35439624 36429415 37629104 37758964 37728953 36028473 35548326 34697954 33397770 99999999 30208102 29618217 28788356 TSTM 29758054 27208336 99999999 28889432 30579529 31189623 31879778 32889908 34000048 34970197 35920196 36450111 36839924 36949761 37779452 39309021 40288887 40648737 40408517 39978434 39538414 38548424 37578388 37208323 37078110 37167906 37717663 37737477 99999999 46442482 46002394 45532348 44362318 43782330 42072375 41212366 39122278 38062194 37672195 37272250 37132358 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E JAN 40 NNE MCB 35 NE ESF 40 WSW ELD 35 SSW HOT 20 S LIT 15 WNW GWO 25 E JAN. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW BVE 30 S HUM 40 NNE LFT 10 SSW IER 20 S SHV 25 NNW SHV 15 NNW TXK 35 NE DEQ 25 SSE RUE 45 ENE LIT 30 SSE UOX 35 NE MEI SEM 10 WSW LGC 25 S AHN 15 WNW CAE 10 E OGB 15 NNW SAV 30 NE VLD 20 SSW AAF. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW BVE 20 NW 7R4 20 WNW POE 45 SSW SHV 45 SE PRX 45 SE MLC 20 NNW RKR 20 WSW FLP 20 N ARG 25 NNE MKL 20 W CHA 40 W FLO 70 SSE CRE ...CONT... 35 E JAX 10 N GNV 55 SW CTY. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 S LCH 15 SSW LCH 40 W POE 35 N LFK 30 ESE GYI 30 NE ADM 40 ESE CQB 30 N FYV 35 WSW FAM 20 W MDH 15 WSW MDH 20 ENE CSV 35 SW HSS 35 NNE FLO 60 S ILM ...CONT... 25 NE SGJ 10 SE GNV 65 SSW CTY. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE SGJ 50 WSW SRQ ...CONT... 40 SE GLS 15 SE UTS 40 N CLL 35 SE SEP 45 NE ABI 30 SSW CDS 20 SW AMA 35 ESE DHT 25 SE GUY 30 W AVK 30 WNW PNC 45 N JLN 30 NNW ALN 15 S BMI 30 NW LAF 15 NE MIE 10 NW DAY 25 S DAY 40 NNE LEX 30 W JKL 25 SSE JKL 15 SSE BLF 15 SSE LYH 40 ENE RIC 40 ESE WAL ...CONT... 50 WNW AST 10 SSW AST 45 W PDX 15 N EUG 25 S EUG 25 E 4BK 30 NE ACV 25 E UKI 40 NE SFO 20 N SJC 25 SSW SFO 75 WSW SFO.