DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0717 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2015 VALID TIME 211300Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 33647746 33957831 34427870 34987825 36357686 36247622 35837499 0.02 28950102 29170054 28839974 27939851 27329816 25799766 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 33357758 33147882 33437959 34057990 35247964 36177905 37047767 36887615 36237479 0.05 31610705 32360741 33600755 35440772 35840701 35320626 33010585 32660524 32510280 32110188 31190047 28729893 28669825 30399497 31109137 31468665 30768552 29538584 0.15 31630656 31690551 31190450 29960326 28890326 0.15 33667752 33957841 34397868 35277813 36307692 36287624 35977554 35737508 && ... WIND ... 0.05 33247781 33127889 33457955 34017987 35127964 36177900 37027769 36937612 36287484 0.05 31520713 32770713 33070620 32000403 30730294 30490189 30050095 29500006 28879943 28729918 28589831 28949773 30419485 31438669 30858557 29358578 0.15 31590662 31690547 31220448 29980327 28730324 0.15 33697740 33917836 34397868 35347806 36297689 36257602 35717493 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 33757765 33847806 33917836 34387868 35267813 35587777 36307692 36287624 36257602 35847520 SLGT 31550632 31690555 31220447 29980327 28990324 MRGL 33157885 33307923 33437959 34057989 35247964 36177905 37047767 36997716 36947612 36647554 MRGL 31560701 32470740 33600755 35440772 35840701 35320626 33010585 32660524 32510280 32100188 31190047 28729893 28669825 30399497 31109137 31468665 31198622 30858557 30258565 29698573 TSTM 45428737 44608678 43508695 42858741 42458805 42228938 42409049 42849143 43709167 44659144 45239125 45589045 45718880 45748805 45428737 99999999 32297972 32758030 33398074 34038107 34758099 35428067 36028018 36397964 36737910 37027838 37257722 37457476 99999999 31640716 33270805 34290854 36560957 36831062 36641226 36281397 35821571 36101741 35871779 35911828 36431854 37722036 40012184 39872223 39252228 38902296 39912373 41762367 42592289 44022261 45362264 46602321 47342395 48702468 99999999 49702034 48001993 47621892 48371539 48441300 47771132 46831018 45780928 45140796 44550669 42740527 40690426 39690256 39140119 38019909 36879770 35079563 34239409 33499223 32849122 32519026 32228859 32058640 31508478 31148412 31018301 30998183 31048093 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE ILM 30 SSW ILM 35 ENE CRE 40 SSE FAY 15 SW GSB 15 NE GSB 40 W ECG ECG 10 E ECG 50 NNE HSE. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S ELP 45 WSW GDP 45 SSE GDP 50 ESE MRF 95 SW 6R6. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S CRE 30 SSW CRE 40 WSW CRE 15 SW FLO 15 W SOP 25 NW RDU 30 NE AVC 35 SSE RIC ORF 40 ESE ORF. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW ELP 25 NE DMN 30 NNW TCS 20 NNE GNT 15 SSW 4SL 20 SSW SAF 20 NE ALM 50 ESE ALM 25 ESE HOB 20 ENE MAF 10 S SJT 25 NE COT 40 WNW NIR 40 SE UTS 35 S HEZ 25 E GZH 35 NNE CEW 25 W MAI PFN 35 S PFN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW ESC 35 NW MBL 45 WNW MKG 20 ENE RAC 25 SSW RAC 15 W RFD 10 E DBQ 45 NW DBQ 25 WSW LSE 15 S EAU 25 NNE EAU 50 W RHI 35 E RHI IMT 25 SSW ESC ...CONT... 45 SSE CHS 20 WSW CHS 10 SE OGB CAE 30 S CLT 20 NE CLT 15 WSW GSO 20 SW DAN 15 NE DAN 30 NW AVC 20 SSE RIC 50 SE WAL ...CONT... 45 WSW ELP 45 N SVC 70 SSW GNT 70 S 4BL 45 E PGA 50 N GCN 60 SSW SGU 35 WSW LAS 35 NNE NID 15 NNW NID 35 WNW NID 65 S BIH 30 NNE MER 25 ESE RBL 20 S RBL 50 E UKI 20 SE UKI 60 NNW UKI 30 E CEC 15 N MFR 30 ESE EUG 15 S PDX 30 SSW OLM 25 N HQM 55 N UIL ...CONT... 95 NNW OMK 35 SSW OMK 35 NE EPH 50 W GPI 30 WSW CTB 20 N GTF 30 NNW 3HT 35 W BIL 55 SSE BIL 20 SE SHR DGW 45 SE CYS 35 NNW ITR 30 ESE GLD 50 ENE DDC 35 WNW PNC 15 NE MLC 20 NE DEQ 30 WSW LLQ 45 SSW GLH 15 NW JAN 10 SE MEI 15 S MGM 35 W ABY 20 WNW MGR 25 NE VLD 25 WSW SSI 30 ESE SSI.