DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0756 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 VALID TIME 221300Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29370236 32100188 34369939 37149818 38309660 41189442 42869382 44429426 45879561 47549365 47978810 99999999 47708668 42148388 38658365 37008351 35068553 34288901 30799666 28060124 0.05 40978482 38368489 35548610 34399078 31159731 30189961 30610089 31750121 34339910 36629808 38059629 41099400 42859347 44569389 45869508 46909381 46248941 42698568 40978482 0.10 36569670 38659465 40149294 42839252 44859293 45959201 45738962 43908881 42068699 40218737 38229001 37189241 33889619 33759725 34229799 34939829 36569670 0.15 38459313 40549233 42999201 44229232 45509137 45358996 43728926 42098842 39938894 38479042 37899256 38459313 SIGN 44929292 45969211 45788972 43748874 42068704 40208732 38229001 37159250 33929611 33729729 34229803 34899838 36219700 37769559 40159298 42879247 44929292 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 43317969 40668057 36708271 34708519 33958886 31529514 29929854 28130121 99999999 29330243 31960198 34159950 36339872 38169656 41549435 44429421 45839567 47189429 46939205 47518922 0.15 43228104 40738211 36938331 35178550 34318959 32479455 31099739 30189976 30710193 31840185 34059933 36379834 37989634 41139399 43079350 44519379 45679509 46919392 46378917 46258668 44878248 0.30 41508751 39368899 37329107 36429154 36398998 37308758 36948584 35608651 34788951 34249137 34349425 33789607 34169754 35799811 38089540 39999351 41249206 43099189 44369225 45439149 45488972 43828878 41508751 0.45 36129277 35099429 35009559 36009649 37009600 38389404 38499268 37659210 36129277 SIGN 31870181 33959937 36349838 38089540 42469078 42968980 42948880 42518794 41548751 39238911 37559087 34579407 31959724 30219972 30770190 31870181 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29400236 32030199 34399951 37149831 41449469 43819461 46059561 47619348 47428952 99999999 43147981 40398067 36818272 34628538 33998889 32119394 29929854 28130110 0.15 43268107 40538223 36898332 35158563 34328942 32449463 30889781 30179995 30720182 31980178 33959941 36729817 38099629 41349388 42749348 44679399 45789503 46839377 46148648 44968256 0.30 40349056 41808956 43778976 44818831 44268597 42708431 41358358 39518466 37968577 37078528 35688611 35138895 35609014 36488949 37099080 37509247 39079226 40349056 0.45 38629017 38699135 39429116 39969038 41838911 43198916 43368826 41998706 40258741 38629017 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 37689200 35999295 35039429 35009563 36009653 36979605 38059437 39199302 40619232 42919197 44119228 45439149 45428952 43948881 41938717 40228746 38559018 37689200 SLGT 43158107 40588227 36868333 35088561 34388928 32169523 30859784 30149983 30680185 32040179 33859941 36449834 37959643 37959643 41209394 42859352 44449380 45719508 46879393 46559089 46198653 44958267 TSTM 45527295 42427334 40127484 38817494 37787477 99999999 33097854 33387932 34798193 35018439 33618662 29569428 27029803 26509963 99999999 29480256 30770278 32280225 33740095 34789999 36379971 37239985 37850002 38299969 38969864 40429588 41839632 42509888 44130132 45990255 48140195 49509983 99999999 49271149 45640842 43700629 41080399 39450285 38310203 37540186 37020228 36460326 35560607 36200999 36501280 35961663 36371832 39392204 40422278 41842262 43592127 46601607 49491569 99999999 26688307 27368262 27488158 26088013 25128041 24698122 24838241 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE TBN 20 SSE HRO 20 E RKR 10 NE MLC 25 NE CQB 15 N BVO 60 SSE OJC 45 NE SZL 35 S OTM 35 NE ALO 15 NE RST 40 N EAU 15 S RHI 15 WSW OSH 25 E CGX DNV 15 SE STL 10 SE TBN. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NNW ERI 20 SE MFD 45 ESE LOZ 25 W CHA 15 E UOX 15 SE TYR 35 SW TPL 25 S JCT 50 NNE 6R6 20 SW BGS 55 W SPS 25 WNW END 30 SSW EMP 30 SSW EMP 25 SSW DSM 25 SSW MCW 15 NNE MKT 20 SE AXN 35 NNE BRD ASX 40 NE ESC 45 ESE APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NW EFK PSF 10 S TTN 35 SE DOV 40 ESE WAL ...CONT... 45 SSE CRE 30 SW CRE 10 SSE SPA 45 E CHA 10 ENE BHM 30 SSW BPT 50 S ALI 75 S LRD ...CONT... 45 SSW 6R6 15 SE FST 25 N MAF 50 E LBB 30 NE CDS GAG 40 S DDC DDC 40 NNE DDC 10 NE RSL 30 NNW FNB 10 WNW TQE 10 WNW ONL 15 ENE PHP 20 WNW Y22 30 WSW MOT 105 NNW DVL ...CONT... 60 NE CTB 10 SSE BIL 55 N CPR 45 E CYS 35 WNW ITR 40 ENE LAA 40 N EHA 20 W EHA CAO SAF 85 NW GUP 50 NW GCN 60 SW DRA 60 NW NID 55 SSE RBL 35 NW RBL 40 NNW MHS 45 S RDM 40 NW P69 105 NW GPI ...CONT... 60 SSW SRQ SRQ 20 SW AGR 20 NNE MIA 45 S MIA 10 WSW MTH 45 WNW EYW.