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Mesoscale Discussion 1076 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1076
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0855 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024
Areas affected...northwest Texas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 301355Z - 301530Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Sporadic strong gusts of 40-50 mph are possible with a
line of thunderstorms developing southeast through the morning.
DISCUSSION...A line of storms will continue to develop
south/southeast across the Texas South Plains/northwest Texas
vicinity this morning. Recent observations from the West Texas
Mesonet indicated gusts of 40-50 mph have occurred near Wellington,
while KCDS gusted to 63 mph. This activity will continue to move
into an unstable airmass characterized by low to mid 60s F dewpoints
and around 1000 J/kg MLCAPE. Portions of the downstream airmass have
likely been impacted by another cluster of storms that moved over
this area and is now located of north Texas. At least weak low-level
inhibition is evident in regional 12z RAOBs and latest SPC
Mesoanalysis. As a result of impacts from prior convection and a
still weakly capped environment, expect convection to largely remain
sub-severe in this short term, with gusts mostly in the 40-50 mph
range possible, though isolated locally stronger gusts will be
possible. A watch is not expected at this time.
..Leitman/Guyer.. 05/30/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 34810053 34949973 34709940 34339937 33649954 33249985
33170074 33280163 33480198 33870207 34200200 34450151
34810053
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